Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 23°C (46.5% implied probability) or 22°C (28%) in Tel Aviv on April 13, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and sources such as timeanddate.com and Weather Underground, which project peaks around 21-22°C (70-71°F) under mild spring conditions. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, delivering stable partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and coastal moderation from the warmer Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures, keeping readings below the April climatological average of 22-24°C. Recent observations through April 10-11 confirm daily highs of 20-21°C amid similar patterns, with minimal model divergence (±1-2°C spread) supporting low odds for extremes. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles due April 12 could shift probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 13?
23°C 43%
22°C 29%
24°C 15%
21°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
29%
23°C
43%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
23°C 43%
22°C 29%
24°C 15%
21°C 11%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
5%
21°C
11%
22°C
29%
23°C
43%
24°C
15%
25°C
5%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 23°C (46.5% implied probability) or 22°C (28%) in Tel Aviv on April 13, reflecting the latest short-range forecasts from global models like ECMWF and sources such as timeanddate.com and Weather Underground, which project peaks around 21-22°C (70-71°F) under mild spring conditions. This positioning stems from a persistent high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, delivering stable partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and coastal moderation from the warmer Mediterranean Sea surface temperatures, keeping readings below the April climatological average of 22-24°C. Recent observations through April 10-11 confirm daily highs of 20-21°C amid similar patterns, with minimal model divergence (±1-2°C spread) supporting low odds for extremes. Updated Israel Meteorological Service guidance and ECMWF ensembles due April 12 could shift probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes