India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 34–35°C in Lucknow today under clear skies with strong daytime winds, aligning with trader consensus pricing 35°C at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability). Yesterday's observed high of 32.1°C at Lucknow Airport—below normal after recent unseasonal rains and thunderstorms—supports this positioning, as dry conditions and ample solar heating are expected to push daytime peaks modestly higher without heatwave drivers like high-pressure ridges. Historical April averages exceed 40°C, but current cooler baselines and wind mixing limit extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clouds reducing insolation or gustier winds enhancing evaporative cooling, though model consensus shows low likelihood; intraday airport observations will refine this as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 11?
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$105,724 Vol.
$105,724 Vol.
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 99.8%
36°C <1%
37°C <1%
38°C <1%
$105,724 Vol.
$105,724 Vol.
35°C
100%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 34–35°C in Lucknow today under clear skies with strong daytime winds, aligning with trader consensus pricing 35°C at near-certainty (99.9% implied probability). Yesterday's observed high of 32.1°C at Lucknow Airport—below normal after recent unseasonal rains and thunderstorms—supports this positioning, as dry conditions and ample solar heating are expected to push daytime peaks modestly higher without heatwave drivers like high-pressure ridges. Historical April averages exceed 40°C, but current cooler baselines and wind mixing limit extremes. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon clouds reducing insolation or gustier winds enhancing evaporative cooling, though model consensus shows low likelihood; intraday airport observations will refine this as the day progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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