India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 13 under clear skies and moderate winds, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on 36°C and 33% on 37°C, reflecting recent observations of 35.3°C on April 11—slightly below normal amid dry pre-monsoon conditions. Persistent anticyclonic circulation over northern India suppresses cloud cover and convection, favoring steady daytime heating from surface solar radiation, while historical mid-April averages hover around 37°C with lows near 20°C. Model ensembles show minor divergence on afternoon wind shear potentially capping peaks below 38°C; watch IMD's April 12 update and Lucknow Airport measurements for resolution, as small shifts in humidity or haze could adjust outcomes by 1-2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 13?
36°C 43%
37°C 32%
38°C 10%
35°C 9%
$14,138 Vol.
$14,138 Vol.
34°C or below
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
43%
37°C
32%
38°C
10%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
36°C 43%
37°C 32%
38°C 10%
35°C 9%
$14,138 Vol.
$14,138 Vol.
34°C or below
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
43%
37°C
32%
38°C
10%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts a maximum temperature of 36°C in Lucknow on April 13 under clear skies and moderate winds, driving trader consensus with 44% implied probability on 36°C and 33% on 37°C, reflecting recent observations of 35.3°C on April 11—slightly below normal amid dry pre-monsoon conditions. Persistent anticyclonic circulation over northern India suppresses cloud cover and convection, favoring steady daytime heating from surface solar radiation, while historical mid-April averages hover around 37°C with lows near 20°C. Model ensembles show minor divergence on afternoon wind shear potentially capping peaks below 38°C; watch IMD's April 12 update and Lucknow Airport measurements for resolution, as small shifts in humidity or haze could adjust outcomes by 1-2°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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