The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a Seoul-area high of 22°C on April 13, fueled by southerly winds ushering warmer air ahead of a weak frontal system, aligning with recent warming trends from cooler early-April conditions averaging 12-17°C. However, trader consensus tilts toward 19°C (25.5% implied probability), with 21°C (17.5%) and 20°C (16.5%) close behind, mirroring ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 18-22°C amid uncertainty in high-cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and peak heating. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud persistence versus clear-sky breaks and diurnal temperature ranges; climatological mid-April Seoul highs average 18°C. Watch for this afternoon's KMA update and 00Z global model runs for shifts before Incheon Airport observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 13 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 13 de abril?
19°C 27%
21°C 18%
20°C 16%
22°C 9.7%
$63,951 Vol.
$63,951 Vol.
13 abr 2026
13°C o menos
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
10%
19°C
27%
20°C
16%
21°C
18%
22°C
10%
23°C o más
8%
19°C 27%
21°C 18%
20°C 16%
22°C 9.7%
$63,951 Vol.
$63,951 Vol.
13 abr 2026
13°C o menos
$7,269 Vol.
2%
14°C
$5,027 Vol.
1%
15°C
$5,313 Vol.
2%
16°C
$5,668 Vol.
3%
17°C
$7,594 Vol.
7%
18°C
$6,506 Vol.
10%
19°C
$2,961 Vol.
27%
20°C
$2,619 Vol.
16%
21°C
$4,323 Vol.
18%
22°C
$4,594 Vol.
10%
23°C o más
$12,285 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a Seoul-area high of 22°C on April 13, fueled by southerly winds ushering warmer air ahead of a weak frontal system, aligning with recent warming trends from cooler early-April conditions averaging 12-17°C. However, trader consensus tilts toward 19°C (25.5% implied probability), with 21°C (17.5%) and 20°C (16.5%) close behind, mirroring ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 18-22°C amid uncertainty in high-cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and peak heating. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud persistence versus clear-sky breaks and diurnal temperature ranges; climatological mid-April Seoul highs average 18°C. Watch for this afternoon's KMA update and 00Z global model runs for shifts before Incheon Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$63,951Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a Seoul-area high of 22°C on April 13, fueled by southerly winds ushering warmer air ahead of a weak frontal system, aligning with recent warming trends from cooler early-April conditions averaging 12-17°C. However, trader consensus tilts toward 19°C (25.5% implied probability), with 21°C (17.5%) and 20°C (16.5%) close behind, mirroring ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 18-22°C amid uncertainty in high-cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and peak heating. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud persistence versus clear-sky breaks and diurnal temperature ranges; climatological mid-April Seoul highs average 18°C. Watch for this afternoon's KMA update and 00Z global model runs for shifts before Incheon Airport observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$63,951Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects a Seoul-area high of 22°C on April 13, fueled by southerly winds ushering warmer air ahead of a weak frontal system, aligning with recent warming trends from cooler early-April conditions averaging 12-17°C. However, trader consensus tilts toward 19°C (25.5% implied probability), with 21°C (17.5%) and 20°C (16.5%) close behind, mirroring ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads of 18-22°C amid uncertainty in high-cloud cover potentially limiting solar insolation and peak heating. Key differentiators include model disagreements on cloud persistence versus clear-sky breaks and diurnal temperature ranges; climatological mid-April Seoul highs average 18°C. Watch for this afternoon's KMA update and 00Z global model runs for shifts before Incheon Airport observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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