Official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This aligns with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model ensembles predicting peaks around 12°C under persistent northerly airflow, partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and cooler continental air masses typical for mid-April in central Europe. Historical April highs average 13°C but vary ±3°C; current positioning reflects intraday data peaking mid-afternoon before evening decline to 5°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing data revisions from IMGW, though unlikely beyond standard whole-degree precision. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 11?
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,870 Vol.
$83,870 Vol.
11 abr 2026
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
12°C 100.0%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$83,870 Vol.
$83,870 Vol.
11 abr 2026
12°C
$13,428 Vol.
100%
13°C
$10,748 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$6,621 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$5,197 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$4,327 Vol.
<1%
17°C or higher
$3,997 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This aligns with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model ensembles predicting peaks around 12°C under persistent northerly airflow, partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and cooler continental air masses typical for mid-April in central Europe. Historical April highs average 13°C but vary ±3°C; current positioning reflects intraday data peaking mid-afternoon before evening decline to 5°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing data revisions from IMGW, though unlikely beyond standard whole-degree precision. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$83,870Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This aligns with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model ensembles predicting peaks around 12°C under persistent northerly airflow, partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and cooler continental air masses typical for mid-April in central Europe. Historical April highs average 13°C but vary ±3°C; current positioning reflects intraday data peaking mid-afternoon before evening decline to 5°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing data revisions from IMGW, though unlikely beyond standard whole-degree precision. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$83,870Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official IMGW observations at Warsaw Chopin Airport confirm the highest temperature reached 12°C today, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability as the market nears resolution. This aligns with European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) model ensembles predicting peaks around 12°C under persistent northerly airflow, partial cloud cover limiting solar insolation, and cooler continental air masses typical for mid-April in central Europe. Historical April highs average 13°C but vary ±3°C; current positioning reflects intraday data peaking mid-afternoon before evening decline to 5°C. Realistic challenges include rare post-processing data revisions from IMGW, though unlikely beyond standard whole-degree precision. Final daily bulletin expected shortly.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes