National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 52°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with east-northeast winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from tight model agreement across GFS, NAM, and ECMWF ensembles in the latest 12z and 18z runs, showing clustered highs of 50-55°F amid a brief post-frontal cooldown with overnight lows around 37°F—still well above historical April 12 lows and the next market bin at 42-43°F. Climatological normals near 58°F further support mild spring conditions under a building upper-level ridge. Realistic challenges include persistent low clouds from Lake Michigan or an unexpected northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though steering patterns indicate low risk; monitor afternoon NWS updates for final tweaks ahead of observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 12 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 12 de abril?
44°F o más 99.8%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
25°F o menos <1%
$66,371 Vol.
$66,371 Vol.
12 abr 2026
25°F o menos
<1%
26-27°F
<1%
28-29°F
<1%
30-31°F
<1%
32-33°F
<1%
34-35°F
<1%
36-37°F
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
<1%
44°F o más
100%
44°F o más 99.8%
42-43°F <1%
38-39°F <1%
25°F o menos <1%
$66,371 Vol.
$66,371 Vol.
12 abr 2026
25°F o menos
$7,214 Vol.
<1%
26-27°F
$5,965 Vol.
<1%
28-29°F
$5,152 Vol.
<1%
30-31°F
$3,801 Vol.
<1%
32-33°F
$3,782 Vol.
<1%
34-35°F
$3,784 Vol.
<1%
36-37°F
$3,523 Vol.
<1%
38-39°F
$5,872 Vol.
<1%
40-41°F
$4,840 Vol.
<1%
42-43°F
$12,731 Vol.
<1%
44°F o más
$9,708 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 52°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with east-northeast winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from tight model agreement across GFS, NAM, and ECMWF ensembles in the latest 12z and 18z runs, showing clustered highs of 50-55°F amid a brief post-frontal cooldown with overnight lows around 37°F—still well above historical April 12 lows and the next market bin at 42-43°F. Climatological normals near 58°F further support mild spring conditions under a building upper-level ridge. Realistic challenges include persistent low clouds from Lake Michigan or an unexpected northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though steering patterns indicate low risk; monitor afternoon NWS updates for final tweaks ahead of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$66,371Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 52°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with east-northeast winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from tight model agreement across GFS, NAM, and ECMWF ensembles in the latest 12z and 18z runs, showing clustered highs of 50-55°F amid a brief post-frontal cooldown with overnight lows around 37°F—still well above historical April 12 lows and the next market bin at 42-43°F. Climatological normals near 58°F further support mild spring conditions under a building upper-level ridge. Realistic challenges include persistent low clouds from Lake Michigan or an unexpected northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though steering patterns indicate low risk; monitor afternoon NWS updates for final tweaks ahead of observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$66,371Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Chicago O'Hare International Airport projects a high near 52°F on April 12 under mostly sunny skies with east-northeast winds at 5-10 mph, anchoring trader consensus at 99.8% implied probability for 44°F or higher. This positioning stems from tight model agreement across GFS, NAM, and ECMWF ensembles in the latest 12z and 18z runs, showing clustered highs of 50-55°F amid a brief post-frontal cooldown with overnight lows around 37°F—still well above historical April 12 lows and the next market bin at 42-43°F. Climatological normals near 58°F further support mild spring conditions under a building upper-level ridge. Realistic challenges include persistent low clouds from Lake Michigan or an unexpected northerly wind shift introducing colder air, though steering patterns indicate low risk; monitor afternoon NWS updates for final tweaks ahead of observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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