National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project a high near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 89% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher amid a warming trend. This follows a recent cold snap with flood warnings and lows in the 40s through April 11, as high pressure ridges build aloft, promoting southerly warm air advection well above the climatological April 13 average of 58°F. Early April 2026 has already seen nine days with highs of 70°F or warmer—the third-most on record—consistent with NOAA's warmer-than-average spring outlook. While isolated showers pose minor uncertainty, model consensus indicates minimal cooling impact, with final NWS updates expected Saturday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 13?
74°F or higher 91%
72-73°F 5.3%
70-71°F 3.9%
62-63°F <1%
$37,651 Vol.
$37,651 Vol.
13 abr 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
91%
74°F or higher 91%
72-73°F 5.3%
70-71°F 3.9%
62-63°F <1%
$37,651 Vol.
$37,651 Vol.
13 abr 2026
55°F or below
$6,051 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$2,500 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$2,875 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,891 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,615 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$2,367 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,015 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$4,306 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$4,356 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$2,962 Vol.
5%
74°F or higher
$4,714 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project a high near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 89% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher amid a warming trend. This follows a recent cold snap with flood warnings and lows in the 40s through April 11, as high pressure ridges build aloft, promoting southerly warm air advection well above the climatological April 13 average of 58°F. Early April 2026 has already seen nine days with highs of 70°F or warmer—the third-most on record—consistent with NOAA's warmer-than-average spring outlook. While isolated showers pose minor uncertainty, model consensus indicates minimal cooling impact, with final NWS updates expected Saturday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$37,651Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project a high near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 89% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher amid a warming trend. This follows a recent cold snap with flood warnings and lows in the 40s through April 11, as high pressure ridges build aloft, promoting southerly warm air advection well above the climatological April 13 average of 58°F. Early April 2026 has already seen nine days with highs of 70°F or warmer—the third-most on record—consistent with NOAA's warmer-than-average spring outlook. While isolated showers pose minor uncertainty, model consensus indicates minimal cooling impact, with final NWS updates expected Saturday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$37,651Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project a high near 74°F at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 13, fueling the 89% market-implied probability for 74°F or higher amid a warming trend. This follows a recent cold snap with flood warnings and lows in the 40s through April 11, as high pressure ridges build aloft, promoting southerly warm air advection well above the climatological April 13 average of 58°F. Early April 2026 has already seen nine days with highs of 70°F or warmer—the third-most on record—consistent with NOAA's warmer-than-average spring outlook. While isolated showers pose minor uncertainty, model consensus indicates minimal cooling impact, with final NWS updates expected Saturday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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