Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, where persistent low-level moisture, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds at 10-20 km/h cap daytime heating. Current observations show morning lows near 24°C rising steadily but moderated by high humidity (80-90%) and typical early-April climatology with average highs of 26-27°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS analogs confirm this trajectory, with peaks expected 2-4 p.m. local time. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or urban heat island effects at official stations, though meteorological stability minimizes these risks ahead of evening data finalization.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 11?
28°C 98.2%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,156 Vol.
$148,156 Vol.
11 abr 2026
27°C
<1%
28°C
98%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
28°C 98.2%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
27°C <1%
$148,156 Vol.
$148,156 Vol.
11 abr 2026
27°C
$47,519 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$31,153 Vol.
98%
29°C
$7,419 Vol.
1%
30°C
$7,249 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$13,029 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$12,881 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, where persistent low-level moisture, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds at 10-20 km/h cap daytime heating. Current observations show morning lows near 24°C rising steadily but moderated by high humidity (80-90%) and typical early-April climatology with average highs of 26-27°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS analogs confirm this trajectory, with peaks expected 2-4 p.m. local time. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or urban heat island effects at official stations, though meteorological stability minimizes these risks ahead of evening data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$148,156Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, where persistent low-level moisture, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds at 10-20 km/h cap daytime heating. Current observations show morning lows near 24°C rising steadily but moderated by high humidity (80-90%) and typical early-April climatology with average highs of 26-27°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS analogs confirm this trajectory, with peaks expected 2-4 p.m. local time. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or urban heat island effects at official stations, though meteorological stability minimizes these risks ahead of evening data finalization.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$148,156Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 96.9% implied probability to a highest temperature of 28°C in Shenzhen today, reflecting strong alignment across forecast models from the China Meteorological Administration and Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau, where persistent low-level moisture, partial cloud cover, and southerly winds at 10-20 km/h cap daytime heating. Current observations show morning lows near 24°C rising steadily but moderated by high humidity (80-90%) and typical early-April climatology with average highs of 26-27°C. Model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS analogs confirm this trajectory, with peaks expected 2-4 p.m. local time. Realistic challenges include abrupt clearing skies boosting solar insolation to 29°C or urban heat island effects at official stations, though meteorological stability minimizes these risks ahead of evening data finalization.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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