Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13 around 29-30°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, explaining the tight trader consensus with 24% implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, and 23% for 31°C. This follows a warm spell, including 30°C on April 10, driven by persistent high pressure aloft and warm moist advection from the South China Sea, pushing peaks 2°C above the mid-April climatological average of 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the market's resolution station. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze onset and potential isolated showers, which could cap highs at 28°C (20.5%) or boost to 31°C via enhanced urban heat island effects; 32°C or higher remains unlikely (6.5%) absent stronger subsidence. New 00Z runs and China Meteorological Administration updates overnight may shift odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 13?
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
$10,369 Vol.
$10,369 Vol.
13 abr 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
21%
29°C
24%
30°C
25%
31°C
24%
32°C or higher
7%
30°C 26%
31°C 21%
28°C 21%
29°C 20%
$10,369 Vol.
$10,369 Vol.
13 abr 2026
22°C or below
$565 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,306 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$446 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$423 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,005 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,981 Vol.
2%
28°C
$1,059 Vol.
21%
29°C
$252 Vol.
24%
30°C
$264 Vol.
25%
31°C
$495 Vol.
24%
32°C or higher
$574 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13 around 29-30°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, explaining the tight trader consensus with 24% implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, and 23% for 31°C. This follows a warm spell, including 30°C on April 10, driven by persistent high pressure aloft and warm moist advection from the South China Sea, pushing peaks 2°C above the mid-April climatological average of 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the market's resolution station. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze onset and potential isolated showers, which could cap highs at 28°C (20.5%) or boost to 31°C via enhanced urban heat island effects; 32°C or higher remains unlikely (6.5%) absent stronger subsidence. New 00Z runs and China Meteorological Administration updates overnight may shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$10,369Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13 around 29-30°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, explaining the tight trader consensus with 24% implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, and 23% for 31°C. This follows a warm spell, including 30°C on April 10, driven by persistent high pressure aloft and warm moist advection from the South China Sea, pushing peaks 2°C above the mid-April climatological average of 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the market's resolution station. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze onset and potential isolated showers, which could cap highs at 28°C (20.5%) or boost to 31°C via enhanced urban heat island effects; 32°C or higher remains unlikely (6.5%) absent stronger subsidence. New 00Z runs and China Meteorological Administration updates overnight may shift odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$10,369Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 13 around 29-30°C under mostly sunny skies with light southerly winds, explaining the tight trader consensus with 24% implied probabilities for 29°C and 30°C, and 23% for 31°C. This follows a warm spell, including 30°C on April 10, driven by persistent high pressure aloft and warm moist advection from the South China Sea, pushing peaks 2°C above the mid-April climatological average of 27°C at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the market's resolution station. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea breeze onset and potential isolated showers, which could cap highs at 28°C (20.5%) or boost to 31°C via enhanced urban heat island effects; 32°C or higher remains unlikely (6.5%) absent stronger subsidence. New 00Z runs and China Meteorological Administration updates overnight may shift odds further.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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