Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shenzhen today, reflecting updated forecast models from meteorological services like AccuWeather and TimeandDate showing peaks around 31°C under partly sunny conditions with southeast winds at 10 mph, tempered by morning showers, 79% humidity, and dew points near 23°C that could limit convective heating. Current morning observations at 27°C (feeling like 29°C) align with yesterday's 28°C high on April 11, consistent with April's climatological average of 27–29°C amid subtropical warming trends. Uncertainty persists in cloud cover evolution and precipitation, with real-time data from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport expected to sharpen resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 12?
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 21%
31°C 4.5%
$33,434 Vol.
$33,434 Vol.
12 abr 2026
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
29%
29°C
44%
30°C
21%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
1%
29°C 44%
28°C 29%
30°C 21%
31°C 4.5%
$33,434 Vol.
$33,434 Vol.
12 abr 2026
26°C
$6,444 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,590 Vol.
2%
28°C
$4,540 Vol.
29%
29°C
$910 Vol.
44%
30°C
$763 Vol.
21%
31°C
$3,837 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$2,078 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shenzhen today, reflecting updated forecast models from meteorological services like AccuWeather and TimeandDate showing peaks around 31°C under partly sunny conditions with southeast winds at 10 mph, tempered by morning showers, 79% humidity, and dew points near 23°C that could limit convective heating. Current morning observations at 27°C (feeling like 29°C) align with yesterday's 28°C high on April 11, consistent with April's climatological average of 27–29°C amid subtropical warming trends. Uncertainty persists in cloud cover evolution and precipitation, with real-time data from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport expected to sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$33,434Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shenzhen today, reflecting updated forecast models from meteorological services like AccuWeather and TimeandDate showing peaks around 31°C under partly sunny conditions with southeast winds at 10 mph, tempered by morning showers, 79% humidity, and dew points near 23°C that could limit convective heating. Current morning observations at 27°C (feeling like 29°C) align with yesterday's 28°C high on April 11, consistent with April's climatological average of 27–29°C amid subtropical warming trends. Uncertainty persists in cloud cover evolution and precipitation, with real-time data from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport expected to sharpen resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,434Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a 29°C high in Shenzhen today, reflecting updated forecast models from meteorological services like AccuWeather and TimeandDate showing peaks around 31°C under partly sunny conditions with southeast winds at 10 mph, tempered by morning showers, 79% humidity, and dew points near 23°C that could limit convective heating. Current morning observations at 27°C (feeling like 29°C) align with yesterday's 28°C high on April 11, consistent with April's climatological average of 27–29°C amid subtropical warming trends. Uncertainty persists in cloud cover evolution and precipitation, with real-time data from Shenzhen Bao'an Airport expected to sharpen resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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