Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C under mild westerly flows and partial cloudiness, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 36% implied probability, with 13°C (18.5%) and 15°C or higher (14.5%) close behind as trader consensus reflects this tight forecast spread. Current conditions on April 11 show highs near 14°C with stable spring patterns, aligning with historical April 12 averages of about 13°C and recent model convergence after earlier variability. Inherent short-range uncertainty from cloud evolution and diurnal heating persists, but high-resolution updates overnight from ICON and GFS models could refine odds before observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on April 12?
Highest temperature in Munich on April 12?
14°C 38%
13°C 19%
15°C or higher 16%
12°C 10.5%
$71,184 Vol.
$71,184 Vol.
12 abr 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
7%
12°C
10%
13°C
19%
14°C
38%
15°C or higher
16%
14°C 38%
13°C 19%
15°C or higher 16%
12°C 10.5%
$71,184 Vol.
$71,184 Vol.
12 abr 2026
5°C or below
$2,435 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$1,433 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$2,362 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$7,567 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$12,934 Vol.
1%
10°C
$14,240 Vol.
3%
11°C
$11,579 Vol.
7%
12°C
$6,934 Vol.
10%
13°C
$2,502 Vol.
19%
14°C
$2,845 Vol.
38%
15°C or higher
$6,459 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C under mild westerly flows and partial cloudiness, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 36% implied probability, with 13°C (18.5%) and 15°C or higher (14.5%) close behind as trader consensus reflects this tight forecast spread. Current conditions on April 11 show highs near 14°C with stable spring patterns, aligning with historical April 12 averages of about 13°C and recent model convergence after earlier variability. Inherent short-range uncertainty from cloud evolution and diurnal heating persists, but high-resolution updates overnight from ICON and GFS models could refine odds before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$71,184Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C under mild westerly flows and partial cloudiness, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 36% implied probability, with 13°C (18.5%) and 15°C or higher (14.5%) close behind as trader consensus reflects this tight forecast spread. Current conditions on April 11 show highs near 14°C with stable spring patterns, aligning with historical April 12 averages of about 13°C and recent model convergence after earlier variability. Inherent short-range uncertainty from cloud evolution and diurnal heating persists, but high-resolution updates overnight from ICON and GFS models could refine odds before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$71,184Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) ensemble runs project Munich's highest temperature on April 12 clustering around 14-16°C under mild westerly flows and partial cloudiness, positioning 14°C as the market leader at 36% implied probability, with 13°C (18.5%) and 15°C or higher (14.5%) close behind as trader consensus reflects this tight forecast spread. Current conditions on April 11 show highs near 14°C with stable spring patterns, aligning with historical April 12 averages of about 13°C and recent model convergence after earlier variability. Inherent short-range uncertainty from cloud evolution and diurnal heating persists, but high-resolution updates overnight from ICON and GFS models could refine odds before observations resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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