Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 11°C or higher in Munich on April 13 (99.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 14–16°C under persistent high-pressure influence. Recent model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, supported by mild spring patterns following 17°C on April 11 and 14–16°C projected for April 12, amid above-average April climatology (historical highs averaging 13°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in upper-air steering patterns favoring southerly flows. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or cloud cover surge, though current satellite data and soundings indicate slim odds; final DWD station observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 13 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 13 de abril?
11°C o más 99.3%
7°C <1%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
$71,581 Vol.
$71,581 Vol.
13 abr 2026
1°C o menos
<1%
2°C
<1%
3°C
<1%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C o más
99%
11°C o más 99.3%
7°C <1%
10°C <1%
9°C <1%
$71,581 Vol.
$71,581 Vol.
13 abr 2026
1°C o menos
$3,651 Vol.
<1%
2°C
$7,802 Vol.
<1%
3°C
$2,490 Vol.
<1%
4°C
$7,623 Vol.
<1%
5°C
$5,797 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$7,433 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$7,223 Vol.
1%
8°C
$6,448 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$8,921 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$6,452 Vol.
1%
11°C o más
$7,742 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 11°C or higher in Munich on April 13 (99.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 14–16°C under persistent high-pressure influence. Recent model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, supported by mild spring patterns following 17°C on April 11 and 14–16°C projected for April 12, amid above-average April climatology (historical highs averaging 13°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in upper-air steering patterns favoring southerly flows. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or cloud cover surge, though current satellite data and soundings indicate slim odds; final DWD station observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Volumen
$71,581Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 11°C or higher in Munich on April 13 (99.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 14–16°C under persistent high-pressure influence. Recent model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, supported by mild spring patterns following 17°C on April 11 and 14–16°C projected for April 12, amid above-average April climatology (historical highs averaging 13°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in upper-air steering patterns favoring southerly flows. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or cloud cover surge, though current satellite data and soundings indicate slim odds; final DWD station observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$71,581Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 11°C or higher in Munich on April 13 (99.4% implied probability), driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting daytime highs clustering around 14–16°C under persistent high-pressure influence. Recent model runs show tight agreement with minimal spread, supported by mild spring patterns following 17°C on April 11 and 14–16°C projected for April 12, amid above-average April climatology (historical highs averaging 13°C). This positioning reflects low uncertainty in upper-air steering patterns favoring southerly flows. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold frontal passage or cloud cover surge, though current satellite data and soundings indicate slim odds; final DWD station observations at Munich Airport will resolve the market tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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