Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (49.5% implied probability) in Los Angeles on April 11, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs clustering peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s at the official downtown Los Angeles or LAX measurement stations. Persistent onshore flow has strengthened the marine layer, trapping a thick stratocumulus deck along the coast that limits solar heating and suppresses highs below April climatological norms of around 72°F. Model disagreements center on the timing of potential afternoon burn-off, with earlier clearing possibly nudging toward 68-69°F (21.5%). National Weather Service updates and real-time observations through late afternoon will refine this uncertainty as the market nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 11?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 11?
66-67°F 49%
68-69°F 23%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 9.6%
$33,627 Vol.
$33,627 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 49%
68-69°F 23%
64-65°F 18%
70-71°F 9.6%
$33,627 Vol.
$33,627 Vol.
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
18%
66-67°F
49%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
2%
74°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high temperature of 66-67°F (49.5% implied probability) in Los Angeles on April 11, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble runs clustering peaks in the mid-to-upper 60s at the official downtown Los Angeles or LAX measurement stations. Persistent onshore flow has strengthened the marine layer, trapping a thick stratocumulus deck along the coast that limits solar heating and suppresses highs below April climatological norms of around 72°F. Model disagreements center on the timing of potential afternoon burn-off, with earlier clearing possibly nudging toward 68-69°F (21.5%). National Weather Service updates and real-time observations through late afternoon will refine this uncertainty as the market nears resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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