Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (34%) and 64-65°F (33%), reflecting National Weather Service ensemble guidance and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting Los Angeles highs near 64°F on April 13 amid persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer. This cool bias—well below the mid-April climatological average of 72°F—stems from a strong coastal inversion layer, observed at around 1,500 feet deep over the past 24 hours, trapping cool Pacific air and limiting boundary layer mixing despite moderate 10-15 kt westerly winds. Differentiating the top bins are subtle model discrepancies in marine layer persistence, afternoon stratus clearing potential, and wind-driven ventilation; fuller burn-off could nudge toward 65-67°F (22%), while deeper clouds favor 62-63°F. New 12Z model cycles and NWS updates this afternoon may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution via official downtown LAX observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 13?
62-63°F 34%
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 26%
60-61°F 7.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
7%
62-63°F
34%
64-65°F
33%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
4%
72-73°F
4%
74°F or higher
1%
62-63°F 34%
64-65°F 33%
66-67°F 26%
60-61°F 7.2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
55°F or below
$969 Vol.
1%
56-57°F
$443 Vol.
1%
58-59°F
$287 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$89 Vol.
7%
62-63°F
$73 Vol.
34%
64-65°F
$168 Vol.
33%
66-67°F
$69 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$65 Vol.
7%
70-71°F
$227 Vol.
4%
72-73°F
$192 Vol.
4%
74°F or higher
$762 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (34%) and 64-65°F (33%), reflecting National Weather Service ensemble guidance and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting Los Angeles highs near 64°F on April 13 amid persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer. This cool bias—well below the mid-April climatological average of 72°F—stems from a strong coastal inversion layer, observed at around 1,500 feet deep over the past 24 hours, trapping cool Pacific air and limiting boundary layer mixing despite moderate 10-15 kt westerly winds. Differentiating the top bins are subtle model discrepancies in marine layer persistence, afternoon stratus clearing potential, and wind-driven ventilation; fuller burn-off could nudge toward 65-67°F (22%), while deeper clouds favor 62-63°F. New 12Z model cycles and NWS updates this afternoon may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution via official downtown LAX observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$3,345Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (34%) and 64-65°F (33%), reflecting National Weather Service ensemble guidance and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting Los Angeles highs near 64°F on April 13 amid persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer. This cool bias—well below the mid-April climatological average of 72°F—stems from a strong coastal inversion layer, observed at around 1,500 feet deep over the past 24 hours, trapping cool Pacific air and limiting boundary layer mixing despite moderate 10-15 kt westerly winds. Differentiating the top bins are subtle model discrepancies in marine layer persistence, afternoon stratus clearing potential, and wind-driven ventilation; fuller burn-off could nudge toward 65-67°F (22%), while deeper clouds favor 62-63°F. New 12Z model cycles and NWS updates this afternoon may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution via official downtown LAX observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,345Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 62-63°F (34%) and 64-65°F (33%), reflecting National Weather Service ensemble guidance and GFS/ECMWF model runs projecting Los Angeles highs near 64°F on April 13 amid persistent onshore flow and a deep marine layer. This cool bias—well below the mid-April climatological average of 72°F—stems from a strong coastal inversion layer, observed at around 1,500 feet deep over the past 24 hours, trapping cool Pacific air and limiting boundary layer mixing despite moderate 10-15 kt westerly winds. Differentiating the top bins are subtle model discrepancies in marine layer persistence, afternoon stratus clearing potential, and wind-driven ventilation; fuller burn-off could nudge toward 65-67°F (22%), while deeper clouds favor 62-63°F. New 12Z model cycles and NWS updates this afternoon may sharpen the outlook ahead of resolution via official downtown LAX observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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