Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 64-65°F (36%) and 66-67°F (27%), reflecting National Weather Service model runs showing persistent marine layer stratus—low clouds from cool Pacific waters advected onshore by 5-10 mph west-southwesterly winds—suppressing peak temperatures below the April climatological normal of 70°F at downtown Los Angeles. Recent observations confirm a 1500-foot-deep marine layer late April 10, with a cool inversion capping mixing and limiting diurnal heating. Differentiating the tight 62-67°F cluster are uncertainties in layer inland penetration, midday burn-off potential, and subtle variations in forecast ensembles for boundary-layer winds and solar insolation. Evening NWS updates and morning soundings could sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 25%
68-69°F 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 abr 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
25%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 36%
66-67°F 27%
62-63°F 25%
68-69°F 4.9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 abr 2026
55°F or below
$1,093 Vol.
<1%
56-57°F
$1,211 Vol.
<1%
58-59°F
$956 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$380 Vol.
4%
62-63°F
$584 Vol.
25%
64-65°F
$257 Vol.
36%
66-67°F
$474 Vol.
27%
68-69°F
$384 Vol.
5%
70-71°F
$182 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$879 Vol.
1%
74°F or higher
$765 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 64-65°F (36%) and 66-67°F (27%), reflecting National Weather Service model runs showing persistent marine layer stratus—low clouds from cool Pacific waters advected onshore by 5-10 mph west-southwesterly winds—suppressing peak temperatures below the April climatological normal of 70°F at downtown Los Angeles. Recent observations confirm a 1500-foot-deep marine layer late April 10, with a cool inversion capping mixing and limiting diurnal heating. Differentiating the tight 62-67°F cluster are uncertainties in layer inland penetration, midday burn-off potential, and subtle variations in forecast ensembles for boundary-layer winds and solar insolation. Evening NWS updates and morning soundings could sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volumen
$7,152Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 64-65°F (36%) and 66-67°F (27%), reflecting National Weather Service model runs showing persistent marine layer stratus—low clouds from cool Pacific waters advected onshore by 5-10 mph west-southwesterly winds—suppressing peak temperatures below the April climatological normal of 70°F at downtown Los Angeles. Recent observations confirm a 1500-foot-deep marine layer late April 10, with a cool inversion capping mixing and limiting diurnal heating. Differentiating the tight 62-67°F cluster are uncertainties in layer inland penetration, midday burn-off potential, and subtle variations in forecast ensembles for boundary-layer winds and solar insolation. Evening NWS updates and morning soundings could sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$7,152Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward highs of 64-65°F (36%) and 66-67°F (27%), reflecting National Weather Service model runs showing persistent marine layer stratus—low clouds from cool Pacific waters advected onshore by 5-10 mph west-southwesterly winds—suppressing peak temperatures below the April climatological normal of 70°F at downtown Los Angeles. Recent observations confirm a 1500-foot-deep marine layer late April 10, with a cool inversion capping mixing and limiting diurnal heating. Differentiating the tight 62-67°F cluster are uncertainties in layer inland penetration, midday burn-off potential, and subtle variations in forecast ensembles for boundary-layer winds and solar insolation. Evening NWS updates and morning soundings could sharpen these market-implied odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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