Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–29°C on April 13 under sunny periods and a hot southerly airstream, driving trader consensus toward 28–29°C outcomes amid close market-implied odds. Current conditions around 27°C with 81% relative humidity reflect building warmth from this airstream, while an anticyclone aloft promises generally fine skies early next week, boosting highs above April climatological norms of 25–27°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—potentially capping peaks at 28°C via increased shading or humidity suppression—and urban heat island effects that could nudge toward 29°C if sunnier. New model runs expected tomorrow may refine these uncertainties before resolution based on HKO's official measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 13?
29°C 35%
28°C 34%
27°C 16.4%
30°C 13%
$16,379 Vol.
$16,379 Vol.
13 abr 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
34%
29°C
35%
30°C
13%
31°C or higher
7%
29°C 35%
28°C 34%
27°C 16.4%
30°C 13%
$16,379 Vol.
$16,379 Vol.
13 abr 2026
21°C or below
$1,579 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$1,155 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,274 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,689 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$4,082 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,369 Vol.
5%
27°C
$1,966 Vol.
16%
28°C
$840 Vol.
34%
29°C
$584 Vol.
35%
30°C
$985 Vol.
13%
31°C or higher
$857 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–29°C on April 13 under sunny periods and a hot southerly airstream, driving trader consensus toward 28–29°C outcomes amid close market-implied odds. Current conditions around 27°C with 81% relative humidity reflect building warmth from this airstream, while an anticyclone aloft promises generally fine skies early next week, boosting highs above April climatological norms of 25–27°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—potentially capping peaks at 28°C via increased shading or humidity suppression—and urban heat island effects that could nudge toward 29°C if sunnier. New model runs expected tomorrow may refine these uncertainties before resolution based on HKO's official measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$16,379Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–29°C on April 13 under sunny periods and a hot southerly airstream, driving trader consensus toward 28–29°C outcomes amid close market-implied odds. Current conditions around 27°C with 81% relative humidity reflect building warmth from this airstream, while an anticyclone aloft promises generally fine skies early next week, boosting highs above April climatological norms of 25–27°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—potentially capping peaks at 28°C via increased shading or humidity suppression—and urban heat island effects that could nudge toward 29°C if sunnier. New model runs expected tomorrow may refine these uncertainties before resolution based on HKO's official measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$16,379Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast, updated April 11, projects a maximum temperature of 26–29°C on April 13 under sunny periods and a hot southerly airstream, driving trader consensus toward 28–29°C outcomes amid close market-implied odds. Current conditions around 27°C with 81% relative humidity reflect building warmth from this airstream, while an anticyclone aloft promises generally fine skies early next week, boosting highs above April climatological norms of 25–27°C. Differentiating factors include cloud cover variability—potentially capping peaks at 28°C via increased shading or humidity suppression—and urban heat island effects that could nudge toward 29°C if sunnier. New model runs expected tomorrow may refine these uncertainties before resolution based on HKO's official measurement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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