Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), driven by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing cloudy conditions, light rain, and northeast winds of 16-24 km/h capping daytime heating. Morning temperatures in the mid-teens °C rose modestly to around 19°C by late afternoon amid persistent overcast skies, aligning with forecast highs of 24-27°C from CMA and AccuWeather, but real-time data suggests the peak stayed at or below 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for late-afternoon solar insolation, though low cloud cover and precipitation make 27°C+ unlikely as the resolution window nears close via Wunderground station records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 11?
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$169,952 Vol.
$169,952 Vol.
11 abr 2026
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 99.6%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$169,952 Vol.
$169,952 Vol.
11 abr 2026
26°C
$14,201 Vol.
100%
27°C
$13,831 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$14,968 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$8,555 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$4,152 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$4,693 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$3,168 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), driven by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing cloudy conditions, light rain, and northeast winds of 16-24 km/h capping daytime heating. Morning temperatures in the mid-teens °C rose modestly to around 19°C by late afternoon amid persistent overcast skies, aligning with forecast highs of 24-27°C from CMA and AccuWeather, but real-time data suggests the peak stayed at or below 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for late-afternoon solar insolation, though low cloud cover and precipitation make 27°C+ unlikely as the resolution window nears close via Wunderground station records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Volumen
$169,952Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), driven by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing cloudy conditions, light rain, and northeast winds of 16-24 km/h capping daytime heating. Morning temperatures in the mid-teens °C rose modestly to around 19°C by late afternoon amid persistent overcast skies, aligning with forecast highs of 24-27°C from CMA and AccuWeather, but real-time data suggests the peak stayed at or below 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for late-afternoon solar insolation, though low cloud cover and precipitation make 27°C+ unlikely as the resolution window nears close via Wunderground station records.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$169,952Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 1:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a highest temperature of 26°C at Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport on April 11 (99.7% implied probability), driven by real-time observations from the China Meteorological Administration and international models showing cloudy conditions, light rain, and northeast winds of 16-24 km/h capping daytime heating. Morning temperatures in the mid-teens °C rose modestly to around 19°C by late afternoon amid persistent overcast skies, aligning with forecast highs of 24-27°C from CMA and AccuWeather, but real-time data suggests the peak stayed at or below 26°C. Scenarios challenging this include sudden clearing for late-afternoon solar insolation, though low cloud cover and precipitation make 27°C+ unlikely as the resolution window nears close via Wunderground station records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes