Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 24°C daytime high under persistent cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Recent model runs from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show ensemble agreement around 23–24°C, down slightly from earlier-week highs near 27°C amid a spring warming trend in the Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds trap heat but cap extremes. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current atmospheric conditions—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—favor the upper end of normal variability. Official observations from Chengdu stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing toward 25°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on April 12?
24°C or higher 62%
23°C 25%
22°C 7%
21°C 4.3%
$15,507 Vol.
$15,507 Vol.
12 abr 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C or higher
62%
24°C or higher 62%
23°C 25%
22°C 7%
21°C 4.3%
$15,507 Vol.
$15,507 Vol.
12 abr 2026
14°C or below
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,708 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,367 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$745 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,586 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,552 Vol.
1%
20°C
$1,338 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,018 Vol.
4%
22°C
$664 Vol.
7%
23°C
$935 Vol.
25%
24°C or higher
$1,740 Vol.
62%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 24°C daytime high under persistent cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Recent model runs from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show ensemble agreement around 23–24°C, down slightly from earlier-week highs near 27°C amid a spring warming trend in the Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds trap heat but cap extremes. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current atmospheric conditions—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—favor the upper end of normal variability. Official observations from Chengdu stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing toward 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$15,507Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 24°C daytime high under persistent cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Recent model runs from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show ensemble agreement around 23–24°C, down slightly from earlier-week highs near 27°C amid a spring warming trend in the Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds trap heat but cap extremes. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current atmospheric conditions—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—favor the upper end of normal variability. Official observations from Chengdu stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing toward 25°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,507Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 58% implied probability for Chengdu's highest temperature reaching 24°C or higher on April 12, closely tracking the latest China Meteorological Administration forecast of a 24°C daytime high under persistent cloudy skies with light winds and minimal precipitation risk. Recent model runs from CMA and international sources like AccuWeather and the UK Met Office show ensemble agreement around 23–24°C, down slightly from earlier-week highs near 27°C amid a spring warming trend in the Sichuan Basin, where frequent low clouds trap heat but cap extremes. Historical April averages hover at 22°C, but current atmospheric conditions—stable high pressure and moderate humidity—favor the upper end of normal variability. Official observations from Chengdu stations will confirm the peak by evening, with any unexpected clearing potentially pushing toward 25°C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes