Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 17–19°C (implied probabilities of 19%, 21.5%, and 18%) for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles showing spreads of 17–20°C amid mild spring conditions. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range updates highlight a warming trend after early April's cooler spell, with today's (April 11) highs near 15–16°C under partly clear skies and light westerly winds fostering diurnal heating potential. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and frontal boundary influences, which could cap peaks at 17°C or allow 19°C under sunnier scenarios; historical April averages hover at 18°C. Watch KMA's evening short-range forecast for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 12 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl el 12 de abril?
18°C 22%
17°C 19%
19°C 18%
16°C 13.8%
$180,010 Vol.
$180,010 Vol.
12 abr 2026
14°C o menos
6%
15°C
7%
16°C
14%
17°C
19%
18°C
22%
19°C
18%
20°C
10%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
2%
24°C o más
2%
18°C 22%
17°C 19%
19°C 18%
16°C 13.8%
$180,010 Vol.
$180,010 Vol.
12 abr 2026
14°C o menos
$30,252 Vol.
6%
15°C
$23,463 Vol.
7%
16°C
$15,343 Vol.
14%
17°C
$10,124 Vol.
19%
18°C
$9,017 Vol.
22%
19°C
$10,733 Vol.
18%
20°C
$11,038 Vol.
10%
21°C
$17,422 Vol.
3%
22°C
$19,413 Vol.
5%
23°C
$13,769 Vol.
2%
24°C o más
$19,750 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 17–19°C (implied probabilities of 19%, 21.5%, and 18%) for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles showing spreads of 17–20°C amid mild spring conditions. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range updates highlight a warming trend after early April's cooler spell, with today's (April 11) highs near 15–16°C under partly clear skies and light westerly winds fostering diurnal heating potential. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and frontal boundary influences, which could cap peaks at 17°C or allow 19°C under sunnier scenarios; historical April averages hover at 18°C. Watch KMA's evening short-range forecast for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$180,010Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 17–19°C (implied probabilities of 19%, 21.5%, and 18%) for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles showing spreads of 17–20°C amid mild spring conditions. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range updates highlight a warming trend after early April's cooler spell, with today's (April 11) highs near 15–16°C under partly clear skies and light westerly winds fostering diurnal heating potential. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and frontal boundary influences, which could cap peaks at 17°C or allow 19°C under sunnier scenarios; historical April averages hover at 18°C. Watch KMA's evening short-range forecast for refined guidance as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$180,010Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 17–19°C (implied probabilities of 19%, 21.5%, and 18%) for Seoul's highest temperature on April 12, driven by divergent ECMWF and GFS forecast ensembles showing spreads of 17–20°C amid mild spring conditions. Recent Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) medium-range updates highlight a warming trend after early April's cooler spell, with today's (April 11) highs near 15–16°C under partly clear skies and light westerly winds fostering diurnal heating potential. Key differentiators include model disagreements on afternoon cloud cover and frontal boundary influences, which could cap peaks at 17°C or allow 19°C under sunnier scenarios; historical April averages hover at 18°C. Watch KMA's evening short-range forecast for refined guidance as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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