The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast models point to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Tokyo on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on that outcome amid ensemble spreads of 20-22°C. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm conditions from a high-pressure system dominating eastern Japan, following yesterday's hot readings approaching 27°C and a rare early-season heat warning issued by JMA for potential above-average highs. Historical April data shows typical peaks of 19-21°C, bolstered by seasonal outlooks predicting above-normal temperatures nationwide under ENSO-neutral patterns. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or sea breezes tempering peaks; watch JMA's midday update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tokyo observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 12?
21°C 39%
20°C 29%
22°C 22%
19°C 6.4%
$33,812 Vol.
$33,812 Vol.
12 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
6%
20°C
29%
21°C
39%
22°C
22%
23°C or higher
3%
21°C 39%
20°C 29%
22°C 22%
19°C 6.4%
$33,812 Vol.
$33,812 Vol.
12 abr 2026
13°C or below
$2,524 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$3,799 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$2,511 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$5,232 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,009 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,868 Vol.
2%
19°C
$3,271 Vol.
6%
20°C
$1,627 Vol.
29%
21°C
$2,211 Vol.
39%
22°C
$2,241 Vol.
22%
23°C or higher
$3,518 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast models point to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Tokyo on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on that outcome amid ensemble spreads of 20-22°C. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm conditions from a high-pressure system dominating eastern Japan, following yesterday's hot readings approaching 27°C and a rare early-season heat warning issued by JMA for potential above-average highs. Historical April data shows typical peaks of 19-21°C, bolstered by seasonal outlooks predicting above-normal temperatures nationwide under ENSO-neutral patterns. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or sea breezes tempering peaks; watch JMA's midday update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$33,812Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast models point to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Tokyo on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on that outcome amid ensemble spreads of 20-22°C. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm conditions from a high-pressure system dominating eastern Japan, following yesterday's hot readings approaching 27°C and a rare early-season heat warning issued by JMA for potential above-average highs. Historical April data shows typical peaks of 19-21°C, bolstered by seasonal outlooks predicting above-normal temperatures nationwide under ENSO-neutral patterns. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or sea breezes tempering peaks; watch JMA's midday update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tokyo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$33,812Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast models point to a maximum temperature near 21°C in Tokyo on April 12, anchoring trader sentiment with 41.5% implied probability on that outcome amid ensemble spreads of 20-22°C. This positioning reflects unseasonably warm conditions from a high-pressure system dominating eastern Japan, following yesterday's hot readings approaching 27°C and a rare early-season heat warning issued by JMA for potential above-average highs. Historical April data shows typical peaks of 19-21°C, bolstered by seasonal outlooks predicting above-normal temperatures nationwide under ENSO-neutral patterns. Key uncertainties include afternoon cloud development or sea breezes tempering peaks; watch JMA's midday update for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Tokyo observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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