Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated midday April 11, projects a 22°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 13 under cloudy skies intermittently clearing to sunny, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on exactly 22°C while nearby outcomes at 35% for 23°C or higher and 24% for 21°C reflect model spread. Recent warm anomalies—27°C on April 11 and 23°C forecast for April 12—stem from a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing southerly flow and above-normal spring heating, but an approaching frontal boundary introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap peaks at 21°C or boost them to 23°C via greater insolation. Daily JMA updates and overnight ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs will clarify steering patterns before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 13?
23°C or higher 36%
22°C 31%
21°C 24%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
11%
21°C
24%
22°C
31%
23°C or higher
36%
23°C or higher 36%
22°C 31%
21°C 24%
20°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
13°C or below
$1,221 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,064 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$855 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,278 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$421 Vol.
2%
19°C
$557 Vol.
3%
20°C
$604 Vol.
11%
21°C
$618 Vol.
24%
22°C
$599 Vol.
31%
23°C or higher
$1,174 Vol.
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated midday April 11, projects a 22°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 13 under cloudy skies intermittently clearing to sunny, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on exactly 22°C while nearby outcomes at 35% for 23°C or higher and 24% for 21°C reflect model spread. Recent warm anomalies—27°C on April 11 and 23°C forecast for April 12—stem from a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing southerly flow and above-normal spring heating, but an approaching frontal boundary introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap peaks at 21°C or boost them to 23°C via greater insolation. Daily JMA updates and overnight ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs will clarify steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
Volumen
$9,375Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated midday April 11, projects a 22°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 13 under cloudy skies intermittently clearing to sunny, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on exactly 22°C while nearby outcomes at 35% for 23°C or higher and 24% for 21°C reflect model spread. Recent warm anomalies—27°C on April 11 and 23°C forecast for April 12—stem from a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing southerly flow and above-normal spring heating, but an approaching frontal boundary introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap peaks at 21°C or boost them to 23°C via greater insolation. Daily JMA updates and overnight ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs will clarify steering patterns before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,375Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:10 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Japan Meteorological Agency's latest forecast, updated midday April 11, projects a 22°C high temperature in Tokyo on April 13 under cloudy skies intermittently clearing to sunny, anchoring trader sentiment with 32% implied probability on exactly 22°C while nearby outcomes at 35% for 23°C or higher and 24% for 21°C reflect model spread. Recent warm anomalies—27°C on April 11 and 23°C forecast for April 12—stem from a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge enhancing southerly flow and above-normal spring heating, but an approaching frontal boundary introduces uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could cap peaks at 21°C or boost them to 23°C via greater insolation. Daily JMA updates and overnight ECMWF/GFS ensemble runs will clarify steering patterns before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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