Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Beijing's highest temperature on April 12, with 26°C edging out 25°C and 27°C amid forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 25°C peak under clear skies and light winds. Recent observations show a steady spring warming trend, with April 11's high near 23°C following 24°C on April 10, supported by high-pressure ridging enhancing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary layer heating potentially pushing toward 27°C if southerly flows strengthen, versus northerly breezes or thin high clouds capping at 25°C; historical April averages hover at 20°C, but current climatological analogs favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from NOAA and ECMWF expected overnight could refine this, as resolution hinges on official Beijing Capital International Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 12?
26°C 31%
25°C 31%
27°C 24%
24°C 12%
$25,076 Vol.
$25,076 Vol.
12 abr 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
12%
25°C
31%
26°C
31%
27°C
24%
28°C
6%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
1%
26°C 31%
25°C 31%
27°C 24%
24°C 12%
$25,076 Vol.
$25,076 Vol.
12 abr 2026
21°C or below
$4,485 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,225 Vol.
1%
23°C
$2,883 Vol.
2%
24°C
$2,298 Vol.
12%
25°C
$1,622 Vol.
31%
26°C
$1,440 Vol.
31%
27°C
$1,504 Vol.
24%
28°C
$2,214 Vol.
6%
29°C
$2,184 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,369 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$2,091 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Beijing's highest temperature on April 12, with 26°C edging out 25°C and 27°C amid forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 25°C peak under clear skies and light winds. Recent observations show a steady spring warming trend, with April 11's high near 23°C following 24°C on April 10, supported by high-pressure ridging enhancing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary layer heating potentially pushing toward 27°C if southerly flows strengthen, versus northerly breezes or thin high clouds capping at 25°C; historical April averages hover at 20°C, but current climatological analogs favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from NOAA and ECMWF expected overnight could refine this, as resolution hinges on official Beijing Capital International Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Volumen
$25,076Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Beijing's highest temperature on April 12, with 26°C edging out 25°C and 27°C amid forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 25°C peak under clear skies and light winds. Recent observations show a steady spring warming trend, with April 11's high near 23°C following 24°C on April 10, supported by high-pressure ridging enhancing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary layer heating potentially pushing toward 27°C if southerly flows strengthen, versus northerly breezes or thin high clouds capping at 25°C; historical April averages hover at 20°C, but current climatological analogs favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from NOAA and ECMWF expected overnight could refine this, as resolution hinges on official Beijing Capital International Airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$25,076Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:18 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Beijing's highest temperature on April 12, with 26°C edging out 25°C and 27°C amid forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration projecting a 25°C peak under clear skies and light winds. Recent observations show a steady spring warming trend, with April 11's high near 23°C following 24°C on April 10, supported by high-pressure ridging enhancing solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Differentiating factors include afternoon boundary layer heating potentially pushing toward 27°C if southerly flows strengthen, versus northerly breezes or thin high clouds capping at 25°C; historical April averages hover at 20°C, but current climatological analogs favor the upper 20s. Updated model runs from NOAA and ECMWF expected overnight could refine this, as resolution hinges on official Beijing Capital International Airport measurements.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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