Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 14?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 14?
13°C 30%
15°C or higher 28%
12°C 24%
14°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
5°C or below
3%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
17%
9°C
17%
10°C
17%
11°C
17%
12°C
24%
13°C
19%
14°C
22%
15°C or higher
28%
13°C 30%
15°C or higher 28%
12°C 24%
14°C 22%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
5°C or below
$58 Vol.
3%
6°C
$3 Vol.
1%
7°C
$0 Vol.
3%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$0 Vol.
17%
10°C
$0 Vol.
17%
11°C
$0 Vol.
17%
12°C
$0 Vol.
24%
13°C
$12 Vol.
19%
14°C
$0 Vol.
22%
15°C or higher
$30 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
Volumen
$102Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$102Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:24 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects close clustering of implied probabilities around 13–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on April 14, driven by the latest Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) point forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting daytime peaks in this range amid a building high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have trended slightly warmer due to stronger southerly winds advecting mild Atlantic air, displacing colder Arctic outflows that dominated early April. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud development suppressing peaks below 14°C or enhanced boundary-layer mixing pushing toward 15°C+, against a mid-April climatological average of ~9–10°C. New FMI updates and 12Z model cycles tomorrow may sharpen the outlook before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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