Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight trader consensus with 22°C at 33%, 21°C at 30%, and 20°C at 23%. This follows a warm-up to 25°C highs on April 10–12 amid clear conditions and stronger solar heating, but a subtle frontal influence and increased cloud cover potential introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C based on diurnal temperature range and insolation levels. Mid-April climatology averages near 21°C, with new model runs expected April 13 to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Beijing observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 14?
21°C 33%
20°C 23%
22°C 18%
24°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
18°C or below
1%
19°C
7%
20°C
23%
21°C
30%
22°C
18%
23°C
8%
24°C
14%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
21°C 33%
20°C 23%
22°C 18%
24°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
18°C or below
$745 Vol.
1%
19°C
$171 Vol.
7%
20°C
$27 Vol.
23%
21°C
$15 Vol.
30%
22°C
$69 Vol.
18%
23°C
$9 Vol.
8%
24°C
$259 Vol.
14%
25°C
$26 Vol.
2%
26°C
$99 Vol.
1%
27°C
$125 Vol.
1%
28°C or higher
$117 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight trader consensus with 22°C at 33%, 21°C at 30%, and 20°C at 23%. This follows a warm-up to 25°C highs on April 10–12 amid clear conditions and stronger solar heating, but a subtle frontal influence and increased cloud cover potential introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C based on diurnal temperature range and insolation levels. Mid-April climatology averages near 21°C, with new model runs expected April 13 to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Beijing observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Volumen
$1,662Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight trader consensus with 22°C at 33%, 21°C at 30%, and 20°C at 23%. This follows a warm-up to 25°C highs on April 10–12 amid clear conditions and stronger solar heating, but a subtle frontal influence and increased cloud cover potential introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C based on diurnal temperature range and insolation levels. Mid-April climatology averages near 21°C, with new model runs expected April 13 to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Beijing observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,662Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:14 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF models, alongside China Meteorological Administration guidance, project Beijing's highest temperature on April 14 clustering around 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, driving the tight trader consensus with 22°C at 33%, 21°C at 30%, and 20°C at 23%. This follows a warm-up to 25°C highs on April 10–12 amid clear conditions and stronger solar heating, but a subtle frontal influence and increased cloud cover potential introduce uncertainty, differentiating outcomes by 1–2°C based on diurnal temperature range and insolation levels. Mid-April climatology averages near 21°C, with new model runs expected April 13 to refine probabilities ahead of resolution using official Beijing observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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