Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 14?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 14?
17°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 31%
19°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
14°C or below
8%
15°C
7%
16°C
15%
17°C
32%
18°C
26%
19°C
28%
20°C
24%
21°C
9%
22°C
7%
23°C
6%
24°C or higher
6%
17°C 33%
18°C 31%
20°C 31%
19°C 28%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
14°C or below
$20 Vol.
8%
15°C
$10 Vol.
7%
16°C
$10 Vol.
15%
17°C
$10 Vol.
32%
18°C
$14 Vol.
26%
19°C
$13 Vol.
28%
20°C
$10 Vol.
24%
21°C
$10 Vol.
9%
22°C
$10 Vol.
7%
23°C
$10 Vol.
6%
24°C or higher
$10 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
Volumen
$127Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$127Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:37 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-term forecasts project Busan's high temperature on April 14 at 24°C under mostly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, reflecting a warming trend from April 12's observed 20°C amid rising highs and large diurnal swings of about 15°C. However, ECMWF model runs imply cooler peaks near 19°C due to persistent cloud cover and coastal sea breezes moderating solar heating, creating ensemble spread that fuels trader uncertainty. This divergence, combined with spring climatology averaging 18°C highs and sensitivity to afternoon boundary layer mixing, keeps market-implied probabilities tightly clustered at 25-28% across 16-21°C outcomes, with daily KMA updates expected to refine guidance before resolution via official observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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