The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 14?
22°C or higher 95.0%
21°C 3.0%
14°C 3.0%
15°C 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
12°C or below
3%
13°C
1%
14°C
3%
15°C
3%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C or higher
88%
22°C or higher 95.0%
21°C 3.0%
14°C 3.0%
15°C 3.0%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
12°C or below
$7 Vol.
3%
13°C
$34 Vol.
1%
14°C
$7 Vol.
3%
15°C
$7 Vol.
3%
16°C
$7 Vol.
3%
17°C
$4 Vol.
3%
18°C
$4 Vol.
3%
19°C
$4 Vol.
3%
20°C
$4 Vol.
3%
21°C
$4 Vol.
3%
22°C or higher
$9 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$91Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$91Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest regional forecast projects Mexico City's highest temperature on April 14 at 25–27°C, fueling the 75% market-implied probability for 22°C or higher as traders align with this official guidance from model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. At 2,240 meters elevation, the city's highland climate features strong diurnal heating under April's dry-season clear skies, with historical April highs averaging 25°C and minimal precipitation risk. No significant cold fronts or cloud intrusions have altered patterns in the past 48 hours, keeping lower temperature outcomes below 3%. Watch for SMN's next 96-hour update tomorrow, which could refine intensity based on evolving upper-air steering.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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