Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98.6% implied probability, driven by seasonal climatological norms and current forecast model consensus from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international guidance like the GFS and ECMWF. April highs typically average 25–27°C at the city's 2,230-meter elevation, with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover in the dry season. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport station show stable warm conditions over the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or tropical disturbances indicated. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers increasing cloudiness or a sudden vorticity intrusion, though probabilities remain low; monitor SMN updates and real-time airport readings for intraday shifts as the resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
23°C or higher 98.2%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,513 Vol.
$15,513 Vol.
12 abr 2026
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
98%
23°C or higher 98.2%
22°C <1%
21°C <1%
18°C <1%
$15,513 Vol.
$15,513 Vol.
12 abr 2026
16°C
$1,113 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,005 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$646 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$975 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$674 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$806 Vol.
1%
22°C
$2,874 Vol.
1%
23°C or higher
$2,269 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98.6% implied probability, driven by seasonal climatological norms and current forecast model consensus from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international guidance like the GFS and ECMWF. April highs typically average 25–27°C at the city's 2,230-meter elevation, with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover in the dry season. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport station show stable warm conditions over the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or tropical disturbances indicated. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers increasing cloudiness or a sudden vorticity intrusion, though probabilities remain low; monitor SMN updates and real-time airport readings for intraday shifts as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$15,513Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98.6% implied probability, driven by seasonal climatological norms and current forecast model consensus from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international guidance like the GFS and ECMWF. April highs typically average 25–27°C at the city's 2,230-meter elevation, with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover in the dry season. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport station show stable warm conditions over the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or tropical disturbances indicated. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers increasing cloudiness or a sudden vorticity intrusion, though probabilities remain low; monitor SMN updates and real-time airport readings for intraday shifts as the resolution window closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$15,513Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a high of 23°C or higher in Mexico City today, with 98.6% implied probability, driven by seasonal climatological norms and current forecast model consensus from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) and international guidance like the GFS and ECMWF. April highs typically average 25–27°C at the city's 2,230-meter elevation, with daily maxima rarely dipping below 23°C due to persistent high-pressure ridging and minimal cloud cover in the dry season. Recent observational data from Benito Juárez International Airport station show stable warm conditions over the past week, with no incoming cold fronts or tropical disturbances indicated. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon showers increasing cloudiness or a sudden vorticity intrusion, though probabilities remain low; monitor SMN updates and real-time airport readings for intraday shifts as the resolution window closes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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