Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 12, with 23°C leading at 33% implied probability amid overcast skies and passing showers projected by sources like timeanddate.com and China Meteorological Administration updates. Persistent cloud cover from a lingering frontal system, combined with high humidity typical of Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate, caps daytime heating, differentiating 22–24°C outcomes: fuller sun breaks could push to 24°C, while heavier rain favors 22°C or below. Recent April 11 thunderstorms (high near 24°C) underscore variability, with resolution hinging on observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station; expect refined guidance from CMA evening bulletins. Historical April averages hover at 23°C, aligning with current ensemble consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
23°C 33%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
21%
23°C
33%
24°C
20%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 33%
22°C 27%
24°C 20%
21°C 10%
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
21%
23°C
33%
24°C
20%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Chongqing's highest temperature on April 12, with 23°C leading at 33% implied probability amid overcast skies and passing showers projected by sources like timeanddate.com and China Meteorological Administration updates. Persistent cloud cover from a lingering frontal system, combined with high humidity typical of Chongqing's subtropical monsoon climate, caps daytime heating, differentiating 22–24°C outcomes: fuller sun breaks could push to 24°C, while heavier rain favors 22°C or below. Recent April 11 thunderstorms (high near 24°C) underscore variability, with resolution hinging on observations from Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport station; expect refined guidance from CMA evening bulletins. Historical April averages hover at 23°C, aligning with current ensemble consensus.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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