Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or higher (82%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which estimate maxima of 24-27°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. The city's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes, but April's dry season climatology—averaging 26°C highs with low humidity and 8-9 hours of sunshine—supports this positioning, consistent with recent observations of 22-23°C earlier this week under sunny conditions. Model consensus shows minimal variability, though afternoon clouds or light winds could cap peaks at 24°C (20% implied odds). Official airport measurements will resolve tomorrow, with SMN updates potentially refining short-term guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 13%
23°C 3.7%
21°C <1%
$22,878 Vol.
$22,878 Vol.
13 abr 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
13%
25°C or higher
81%
25°C or higher 81%
24°C 13%
23°C 3.7%
21°C <1%
$22,878 Vol.
$22,878 Vol.
13 abr 2026
15°C or below
$3,264 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$1,632 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$3,498 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$3,287 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,906 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,145 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,637 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,613 Vol.
4%
24°C
$1,149 Vol.
13%
25°C or higher
$1,738 Vol.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or higher (82%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which estimate maxima of 24-27°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. The city's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes, but April's dry season climatology—averaging 26°C highs with low humidity and 8-9 hours of sunshine—supports this positioning, consistent with recent observations of 22-23°C earlier this week under sunny conditions. Model consensus shows minimal variability, though afternoon clouds or light winds could cap peaks at 24°C (20% implied odds). Official airport measurements will resolve tomorrow, with SMN updates potentially refining short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$22,878Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or higher (82%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which estimate maxima of 24-27°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. The city's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes, but April's dry season climatology—averaging 26°C highs with low humidity and 8-9 hours of sunshine—supports this positioning, consistent with recent observations of 22-23°C earlier this week under sunny conditions. Model consensus shows minimal variability, though afternoon clouds or light winds could cap peaks at 24°C (20% implied odds). Official airport measurements will resolve tomorrow, with SMN updates potentially refining short-term guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$22,878Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 25°C or higher (82%) for Mexico City's highest temperature on April 13, driven by the latest forecasts from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), which estimate maxima of 24-27°C amid persistent high-pressure systems and clear skies. The city's 2,240-meter elevation moderates extremes, but April's dry season climatology—averaging 26°C highs with low humidity and 8-9 hours of sunshine—supports this positioning, consistent with recent observations of 22-23°C earlier this week under sunny conditions. Model consensus shows minimal variability, though afternoon clouds or light winds could cap peaks at 24°C (20% implied odds). Official airport measurements will resolve tomorrow, with SMN updates potentially refining short-term guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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