Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities clustered around 24–27°C (26–30%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) outlooks for April 12–13 project highs near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and sea breezes, while this month's warmer-than-normal pattern (mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology) sustains elevated expectations above autumn averages of 22–23°C at Ministro Pistarini Airport station. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or convective showers capping peaks at 24°C, versus clearer skies and lighter onshore winds allowing 27°C; new SMN updates and model runs on April 13 could shift the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 14?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 14?
26°C 23%
25°C 21%
24°C 20%
27°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
9%
23°C
10%
24°C
20%
25°C
21%
26°C
23%
27°C
17%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
2%
26°C 23%
25°C 21%
24°C 20%
27°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
19°C or below
$135 Vol.
1%
20°C
$658 Vol.
1%
21°C
$5 Vol.
8%
22°C
$5 Vol.
9%
23°C
$8 Vol.
10%
24°C
$8 Vol.
20%
25°C
$19 Vol.
21%
26°C
$26 Vol.
23%
27°C
$5 Vol.
17%
28°C
$11 Vol.
4%
29°C or higher
$26 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities clustered around 24–27°C (26–30%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) outlooks for April 12–13 project highs near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and sea breezes, while this month's warmer-than-normal pattern (mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology) sustains elevated expectations above autumn averages of 22–23°C at Ministro Pistarini Airport station. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or convective showers capping peaks at 24°C, versus clearer skies and lighter onshore winds allowing 27°C; new SMN updates and model runs on April 13 could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$904Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities clustered around 24–27°C (26–30%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) outlooks for April 12–13 project highs near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and sea breezes, while this month's warmer-than-normal pattern (mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology) sustains elevated expectations above autumn averages of 22–23°C at Ministro Pistarini Airport station. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or convective showers capping peaks at 24°C, versus clearer skies and lighter onshore winds allowing 27°C; new SMN updates and model runs on April 13 could shift the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$904Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast uncertainty for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 14, with implied probabilities clustered around 24–27°C (26–30%) due to divergent global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF. Recent Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) outlooks for April 12–13 project highs near 23–25°C amid partly cloudy skies and sea breezes, while this month's warmer-than-normal pattern (mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology) sustains elevated expectations above autumn averages of 22–23°C at Ministro Pistarini Airport station. Differentiating factors include potential afternoon cloud buildup or convective showers capping peaks at 24°C, versus clearer skies and lighter onshore winds allowing 27°C; new SMN updates and model runs on April 13 could shift the balance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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