Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C as the slight favorite at 36.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 12, closely trailed by 24°C (27.5%) and 26°C (21.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid a mild autumn ridge of high pressure. Latest AccuWeather guidance forecasts a 23°C high under hazy sunshine with just 13% cloud cover and light NNE winds at 7 km/h, but traders anticipate 1-2°C boosts from urban heat island effects at key stations like Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where the market resolves via Wunderground data. April 2026 trends warmer-than-normal (monthly mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology), fueled by persistent subtropical warm air advection and early-month record minimums near 24°C. Differentiators include sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development—clearer skies enable 26°C, while haze or humidity caps at 24°C—with hourly observations resolving the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 12?
25°C 38%
24°C 23%
26°C 21%
23°C 11%
$23,488 Vol.
$23,488 Vol.
12 abr 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
11%
24°C
23%
25°C
38%
26°C
21%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 38%
24°C 23%
26°C 21%
23°C 11%
$23,488 Vol.
$23,488 Vol.
12 abr 2026
19°C or below
$2,968 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$1,062 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$3,141 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$3,132 Vol.
1%
23°C
$1,671 Vol.
11%
24°C
$1,519 Vol.
23%
25°C
$1,250 Vol.
38%
26°C
$1,648 Vol.
21%
27°C
$2,792 Vol.
3%
28°C
$1,792 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$2,514 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C as the slight favorite at 36.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 12, closely trailed by 24°C (27.5%) and 26°C (21.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid a mild autumn ridge of high pressure. Latest AccuWeather guidance forecasts a 23°C high under hazy sunshine with just 13% cloud cover and light NNE winds at 7 km/h, but traders anticipate 1-2°C boosts from urban heat island effects at key stations like Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where the market resolves via Wunderground data. April 2026 trends warmer-than-normal (monthly mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology), fueled by persistent subtropical warm air advection and early-month record minimums near 24°C. Differentiators include sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development—clearer skies enable 26°C, while haze or humidity caps at 24°C—with hourly observations resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$23,488Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C as the slight favorite at 36.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 12, closely trailed by 24°C (27.5%) and 26°C (21.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid a mild autumn ridge of high pressure. Latest AccuWeather guidance forecasts a 23°C high under hazy sunshine with just 13% cloud cover and light NNE winds at 7 km/h, but traders anticipate 1-2°C boosts from urban heat island effects at key stations like Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where the market resolves via Wunderground data. April 2026 trends warmer-than-normal (monthly mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology), fueled by persistent subtropical warm air advection and early-month record minimums near 24°C. Differentiators include sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development—clearer skies enable 26°C, while haze or humidity caps at 24°C—with hourly observations resolving the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$23,488Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 25°C as the slight favorite at 36.5% implied probability for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 12, closely trailed by 24°C (27.5%) and 26°C (21.5%), reflecting genuine uncertainty in peak heating amid a mild autumn ridge of high pressure. Latest AccuWeather guidance forecasts a 23°C high under hazy sunshine with just 13% cloud cover and light NNE winds at 7 km/h, but traders anticipate 1-2°C boosts from urban heat island effects at key stations like Ministro Pistarini International Airport, where the market resolves via Wunderground data. April 2026 trends warmer-than-normal (monthly mean 20.9°C vs. 18.5°C climatology), fueled by persistent subtropical warm air advection and early-month record minimums near 24°C. Differentiators include sea breeze timing and afternoon cloud development—clearer skies enable 26°C, while haze or humidity caps at 24°C—with hourly observations resolving the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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