Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 14°C (36.5% implied probability) for April 13, driven by the latest Météo-France guidance and converging ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting daytime peaks near 57°F (14°C) under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers. This follows a warm spell through April 7–12, where highs reached 24–26°C amid high pressure, now yielding to a cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover reducing insolation. Supporting forecasts from AccuWeather (60°F or 15.6°C high) and world-weather.info (55°F or 13°C) cluster outcomes around 13–15°C, aligning with mid-April climatology (average highs ~15–16°C) but tempered by frontal influences. Uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks; final short-range updates expected tonight could refine odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 13?
14°C 37%
13°C 25%
15°C 22%
12°C 10.8%
$20,231 Vol.
$20,231 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
11%
13°C
25%
14°C
37%
15°C
22%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
14°C 37%
13°C 25%
15°C 22%
12°C 10.8%
$20,231 Vol.
$20,231 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
11%
13°C
25%
14°C
37%
15°C
22%
16°C
7%
17°C
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Paris high of 14°C (36.5% implied probability) for April 13, driven by the latest Météo-France guidance and converging ECMWF and GFS model runs projecting daytime peaks near 57°F (14°C) under mostly cloudy skies with possible showers. This follows a warm spell through April 7–12, where highs reached 24–26°C amid high pressure, now yielding to a cooler northwesterly flow and increased cloud cover reducing insolation. Supporting forecasts from AccuWeather (60°F or 15.6°C high) and world-weather.info (55°F or 13°C) cluster outcomes around 13–15°C, aligning with mid-April climatology (average highs ~15–16°C) but tempered by frontal influences. Uncertainty persists in exact cloud breaks; final short-range updates expected tonight could refine odds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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