Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, 2026, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station, which recorded a maximum of 25°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation and maximum winds of 14 mph. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting highs around 24-26°C amid moderating autumn conditions following recent instability, consistent with April climatological averages of 25-26°C daily maxima. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Weather Underground's METAR-sourced historical records due to quality control or instrument anomalies, though such post-observation adjustments are highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on April 11?
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,985 Vol.
$69,985 Vol.
11 abr 2026
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$69,985 Vol.
$69,985 Vol.
11 abr 2026
25°C
$11,495 Vol.
100%
26°C
$7,939 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$6,293 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$6,000 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$5,466 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, 2026, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station, which recorded a maximum of 25°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation and maximum winds of 14 mph. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting highs around 24-26°C amid moderating autumn conditions following recent instability, consistent with April climatological averages of 25-26°C daily maxima. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Weather Underground's METAR-sourced historical records due to quality control or instrument anomalies, though such post-observation adjustments are highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$69,985Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, 2026, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station, which recorded a maximum of 25°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation and maximum winds of 14 mph. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting highs around 24-26°C amid moderating autumn conditions following recent instability, consistent with April climatological averages of 25-26°C daily maxima. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Weather Underground's METAR-sourced historical records due to quality control or instrument anomalies, though such post-observation adjustments are highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$69,985Fecha de finalización
11 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of 25°C in São Paulo on April 11, 2026, driven by official observations from the São Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR) station, which recorded a maximum of 25°C (77°F) under partly cloudy skies with no precipitation and maximum winds of 14 mph. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from INMET and Climatempo projecting highs around 24-26°C amid moderating autumn conditions following recent instability, consistent with April climatological averages of 25-26°C daily maxima. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from Weather Underground's METAR-sourced historical records due to quality control or instrument anomalies, though such post-observation adjustments are highly improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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