Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Busan on April 15?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 15?
23°C 35.5%
25°C or higher 27.3%
24°C 22.4%
22°C 12%
NUEVO
$19,296 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,296 Vol.
15 abr 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
8%
22°C
12%
23°C
35%
24°C
22%
25°C or higher
27%
23°C 35.5%
25°C or higher 27.3%
24°C 22.4%
22°C 12%
NUEVO
$19,296 Vol.
NUEVO
$19,296 Vol.
15 abr 2026
15°C or below
$854 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$963 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,407 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$2,617 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,967 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$2,384 Vol.
3%
21°C
$2,017 Vol.
8%
22°C
$825 Vol.
12%
23°C
$990 Vol.
35%
24°C
$2,089 Vol.
22%
25°C or higher
$2,183 Vol.
27%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volumen
$19,296Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$19,296Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:26 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely clusters around 23°C (35% implied probability), 25°C or higher (28%), and 24°C (22%), reflecting divergent Korea Meteorological Administration ensemble forecasts and global models like GFS and ECMWF for Busan on April 15 amid an unseasonal high-pressure ridge over the Korean Peninsula. This system has driven recent daytime highs 5–7°C above the 18°C April climatological average, as seen in April 11–14 readings nearing 23°C at Gimhae International Airport, Busan's official station, fueled by subsiding air, light southerly winds, and warm advection from elevated sea surface temperatures offshore. Key differentiators include morning cloud remnants from a departing front potentially capping peaks at 23°C via reduced insolation, versus rapid diurnal heating under clearing skies pushing toward 25°C; low precipitation risk (under 25%) favors the warmer cluster. Monitor KMA's evening update and early April 15 observations for resolution shifts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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