Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 70.5% probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching 15°C or higher on April 15, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest forecast update on April 14 projecting a peak of 15°C around 3 p.m. under mostly clear skies, light winds (1-4 m/s with gusts to 8 m/s), and near-zero precipitation risk. This marks a notable warming from the April 13 outlook of 11°C, reflecting observed highs near 13°C today amid a high-pressure ridge fostering solar heating and mild southerly flow. Ensemble model ranges span 5-15°C, but current consensus favors the upper end given lengthening daylight and spring climatology, with resolution based on Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observations via Wunderground; watch for evening FMI revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 15?
15°C or higher 70%
14°C 19%
13°C 5.6%
12°C 5.5%
$18,143 Vol.
$18,143 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
6%
14°C
19%
15°C or higher
70%
15°C or higher 70%
14°C 19%
13°C 5.6%
12°C 5.5%
$18,143 Vol.
$18,143 Vol.
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
6%
13°C
6%
14°C
19%
15°C or higher
70%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:36 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 70.5% probability for Helsinki's highest temperature reaching 15°C or higher on April 15, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest forecast update on April 14 projecting a peak of 15°C around 3 p.m. under mostly clear skies, light winds (1-4 m/s with gusts to 8 m/s), and near-zero precipitation risk. This marks a notable warming from the April 13 outlook of 11°C, reflecting observed highs near 13°C today amid a high-pressure ridge fostering solar heating and mild southerly flow. Ensemble model ranges span 5-15°C, but current consensus favors the upper end given lengthening daylight and spring climatology, with resolution based on Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observations via Wunderground; watch for evening FMI revisions.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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