Met Office's latest forecast for London on April 15 pegs the minimum temperature at 12°C under cloudy skies with heavy afternoon rain and southerly gusts up to 30mph, driving trader consensus toward 11°C (38.2% implied probability) and 12°C (23.3%). This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from the UK's record early-April warmth exceeding 26°C last week, as low-pressure systems usher in persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight, with southerly flows maintaining mild air masses. BBC forecasts suggest a slightly lower 9°C low, highlighting model discrepancies in precipitation timing. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists amid evolving rain patterns; official Heathrow observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 15 de abril?
¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 15 de abril?
11°C 38.4%
12°C 24.0%
13°C 21%
10°C 8.5%
$22,561 Vol.
$22,561 Vol.
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
38%
12°C
28%
13°C
21%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C o más
<1%
11°C 38.4%
12°C 24.0%
13°C 21%
10°C 8.5%
$22,561 Vol.
$22,561 Vol.
6°C o menos
1%
7°C
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
8%
11°C
38%
12°C
28%
13°C
21%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Met Office's latest forecast for London on April 15 pegs the minimum temperature at 12°C under cloudy skies with heavy afternoon rain and southerly gusts up to 30mph, driving trader consensus toward 11°C (38.2% implied probability) and 12°C (23.3%). This positioning reflects a sharp cooldown from the UK's record early-April warmth exceeding 26°C last week, as low-pressure systems usher in persistent cloud cover that limits radiative cooling overnight, with southerly flows maintaining mild air masses. BBC forecasts suggest a slightly lower 9°C low, highlighting model discrepancies in precipitation timing. Inherent forecast uncertainty persists amid evolving rain patterns; official Heathrow observations will resolve the market by day's end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes