Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 15?
19°C 42%
20°C or higher 40%
18°C 9%
17°C 4.0%
NUEVO
$59,691 Vol.
NUEVO
$59,691 Vol.
15 abr 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
42%
20°C or higher
40%
19°C 42%
20°C or higher 40%
18°C 9%
17°C 4.0%
NUEVO
$59,691 Vol.
NUEVO
$59,691 Vol.
15 abr 2026
10°C or below
$4,487 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$11,673 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$3,822 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,494 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$2,613 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$4,775 Vol.
1%
16°C
$4,731 Vol.
1%
17°C
$8,295 Vol.
4%
18°C
$8,002 Vol.
9%
19°C
$2,693 Vol.
42%
20°C or higher
$6,463 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$59,691Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$59,691Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and Global Forecast System (GFS) center Shanghai's highest temperature on April 15 around 19-20°C under partly cloudy to overcast conditions with light northerly winds, fueling the razor-thin trader consensus splitting implied probabilities nearly evenly between 20°C or higher (41.5%) and exactly 19°C (40.5%). This tight model spread of about 2°C reflects uncertainty in cloud cover, which could limit daytime insolation and cap highs at 19°C, versus clearer breaks or urban heat island effects pushing toward 20°C amid April's climatological norms of 18-19°C highs. Recent post-frontal warming after earlier cool snaps has elevated temperatures above seasonal baselines, with China Meteorological Administration guidance aligning near 21°C but ensembles tempering expectations; watch morning soundings and satellite imagery for resolution-defining clarity by midday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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