Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 15, closely followed by 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting peaks around 29–30°C under persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Mostly clear skies and high pressure dominance support daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of above-average April warmth—historical averages hover near 26°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C warmer. BBC Weather aligns with a potential 31°C peak, adding uncertainty amid model divergences on exact convective activity. New CMA updates expected today (April 14) could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official Shenzhen Bao'an station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 15?
30°C 40%
29°C 32%
31°C 19%
28°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$35,790 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,790 Vol.
15 abr 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
32%
30°C
40%
31°C
19%
32°C or higher
3%
30°C 40%
29°C 32%
31°C 19%
28°C 7.4%
NUEVO
$35,790 Vol.
NUEVO
$35,790 Vol.
15 abr 2026
22°C or below
$934 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,543 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$3,907 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,735 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,675 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$7,910 Vol.
3%
28°C
$4,351 Vol.
7%
29°C
$1,575 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,151 Vol.
40%
31°C
$3,741 Vol.
19%
32°C or higher
$4,291 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 15, closely followed by 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting peaks around 29–30°C under persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Mostly clear skies and high pressure dominance support daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of above-average April warmth—historical averages hover near 26°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C warmer. BBC Weather aligns with a potential 31°C peak, adding uncertainty amid model divergences on exact convective activity. New CMA updates expected today (April 14) could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official Shenzhen Bao'an station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$35,790Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 15, closely followed by 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting peaks around 29–30°C under persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Mostly clear skies and high pressure dominance support daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of above-average April warmth—historical averages hover near 26°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C warmer. BBC Weather aligns with a potential 31°C peak, adding uncertainty amid model divergences on exact convective activity. New CMA updates expected today (April 14) could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official Shenzhen Bao'an station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$35,790Fecha de finalización
15 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 43% implied probability for a 30°C high temperature in Shenzhen on April 15, closely followed by 29°C at 31.5%, reflecting the latest China Meteorological Administration forecasts projecting peaks around 29–30°C under persistent southerly winds of 16–24 km/h advecting warm, humid air from the South China Sea. Mostly clear skies and high pressure dominance support daytime heating, consistent with recent observations of above-average April warmth—historical averages hover near 26°C but recent days have trended 1–2°C warmer. BBC Weather aligns with a potential 31°C peak, adding uncertainty amid model divergences on exact convective activity. New CMA updates expected today (April 14) could refine trajectories ahead of resolution via official Shenzhen Bao'an station data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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