National Weather Service forecasts indicate Austin's high temperature on April 15 will reach near 84°F under mostly cloudy skies with light south winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for 80°F or higher as models show persistent warm southerly flow amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 13 highs hitting 86-88°F at Austin-Bergstrom, well above the mid-April climatological normal of 80°F, and no disruptive cold fronts or heavy cloud bands anticipated. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected marine layer persistence or model shifts in the final 24 hours—deviations below 80°F would require rare rapid cooling, unlikely given current atmospheric stability and guidance agreement. Updated NWS advisories expected by midday April 15 could refine peak heating estimates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on April 15?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 15?
80°F or higher 93%
78-79°F 5.8%
76-77°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
$24,366 Vol.
$24,366 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
93%
80°F or higher 93%
78-79°F 5.8%
76-77°F 2.1%
72-73°F <1%
$24,366 Vol.
$24,366 Vol.
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
6%
80°F or higher
93%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts indicate Austin's high temperature on April 15 will reach near 84°F under mostly cloudy skies with light south winds of 5-15 mph, driving trader consensus to a 92.5% implied probability for 80°F or higher as models show persistent warm southerly flow amid a strengthening upper-level ridge over Texas. Recent observations confirm this trend, with April 13 highs hitting 86-88°F at Austin-Bergstrom, well above the mid-April climatological normal of 80°F, and no disruptive cold fronts or heavy cloud bands anticipated. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as unexpected marine layer persistence or model shifts in the final 24 hours—deviations below 80°F would require rare rapid cooling, unlikely given current atmospheric stability and guidance agreement. Updated NWS advisories expected by midday April 15 could refine peak heating estimates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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