Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows a developing high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean driving trader consensus toward a 50% implied probability of 31°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 14, well above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend after early-month highs near 22°C, with recent 00Z and 12Z runs indicating clear skies, subsidence warming, and light winds limiting sea breeze cooling that could otherwise cap peaks at 26-28°C. Specific outcomes from 22-30°C cluster around 35.5% amid model spread, while 21°C or below sits at 3% given the dominant sunny conditions. Watch for IMS afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh, as minor cloud intrusions remain the key uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 14 de abril?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 14 de abril?
28°C 32%
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
26°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
21°C o menos
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
7%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
32%
29°C
31%
30°C
26%
31°C o más
9%
28°C 32%
29°C 31%
30°C 26%
26°C 25%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
21°C o menos
$10 Vol.
3%
22°C
$9 Vol.
7%
23°C
$0 Vol.
7%
24°C
$0 Vol.
10%
25°C
$0 Vol.
12%
26°C
$0 Vol.
25%
27°C
$0 Vol.
25%
28°C
$6 Vol.
32%
29°C
$6 Vol.
31%
30°C
$27 Vol.
26%
31°C o más
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows a developing high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean driving trader consensus toward a 50% implied probability of 31°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 14, well above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend after early-month highs near 22°C, with recent 00Z and 12Z runs indicating clear skies, subsidence warming, and light winds limiting sea breeze cooling that could otherwise cap peaks at 26-28°C. Specific outcomes from 22-30°C cluster around 35.5% amid model spread, while 21°C or below sits at 3% given the dominant sunny conditions. Watch for IMS afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh, as minor cloud intrusions remain the key uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$49Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows a developing high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean driving trader consensus toward a 50% implied probability of 31°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 14, well above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend after early-month highs near 22°C, with recent 00Z and 12Z runs indicating clear skies, subsidence warming, and light winds limiting sea breeze cooling that could otherwise cap peaks at 26-28°C. Specific outcomes from 22-30°C cluster around 35.5% amid model spread, while 21°C or below sits at 3% given the dominant sunny conditions. Watch for IMS afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh, as minor cloud intrusions remain the key uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$49Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS) and global models like ECMWF and GFS shows a developing high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean driving trader consensus toward a 50% implied probability of 31°C or higher in Tel Aviv on April 14, well above the mid-April climatological average of 23°C. This reflects a sharp warming trend after early-month highs near 22°C, with recent 00Z and 12Z runs indicating clear skies, subsidence warming, and light winds limiting sea breeze cooling that could otherwise cap peaks at 26-28°C. Specific outcomes from 22-30°C cluster around 35.5% amid model spread, while 21°C or below sits at 3% given the dominant sunny conditions. Watch for IMS afternoon update and tomorrow's model refresh, as minor cloud intrusions remain the key uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes