Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 14, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a tight 12–15°C range amid divergent cloud cover scenarios. A persistent cool northerly airflow over the past week has kept recent highs near 13°C under overcast skies from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) data, below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential clearing for solar heating versus lingering low clouds or Marmara Sea moderation, plus wind shear influences; new 12Z model runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 14?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 14?
13°C 28%
18°C 20%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
10°C or below
1%
11°C
7%
12°C
10%
13°C
24%
14°C
14%
15°C
15%
16°C
16%
17°C
9%
18°C
20%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
1%
13°C 28%
18°C 20%
16°C 16%
15°C 15%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
10°C or below
$117 Vol.
1%
11°C
$31 Vol.
7%
12°C
$34 Vol.
10%
13°C
$40 Vol.
24%
14°C
$0 Vol.
14%
15°C
$0 Vol.
15%
16°C
$23 Vol.
16%
17°C
$0 Vol.
9%
18°C
$64 Vol.
20%
19°C
$64 Vol.
14%
20°C or higher
$88 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 14, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a tight 12–15°C range amid divergent cloud cover scenarios. A persistent cool northerly airflow over the past week has kept recent highs near 13°C under overcast skies from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) data, below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential clearing for solar heating versus lingering low clouds or Marmara Sea moderation, plus wind shear influences; new 12Z model runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
Volumen
$424Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 14, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a tight 12–15°C range amid divergent cloud cover scenarios. A persistent cool northerly airflow over the past week has kept recent highs near 13°C under overcast skies from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) data, below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential clearing for solar heating versus lingering low clouds or Marmara Sea moderation, plus wind shear influences; new 12Z model runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$424Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Istanbul's highest temperature on April 14, with ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS projecting a tight 12–15°C range amid divergent cloud cover scenarios. A persistent cool northerly airflow over the past week has kept recent highs near 13°C under overcast skies from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) data, below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Differentiating factors include potential clearing for solar heating versus lingering low clouds or Marmara Sea moderation, plus wind shear influences; new 12Z model runs from NOAA and ECMWF today could sharpen probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes