Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 12?
13°C 42%
12°C 34%
11°C 13.5%
14°C 6.9%
$20,805 Vol.
$20,805 Vol.
12 abr 2026
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
13%
12°C
34%
13°C
42%
14°C
7%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
2%
13°C 42%
12°C 34%
11°C 13.5%
14°C 6.9%
$20,805 Vol.
$20,805 Vol.
12 abr 2026
8°C
$1,253 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,870 Vol.
2%
11°C
$1,773 Vol.
13%
12°C
$1,415 Vol.
34%
13°C
$1,176 Vol.
42%
14°C
$1,886 Vol.
7%
15°C
$3,697 Vol.
2%
16°C or higher
$3,354 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Volumen
$20,805Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,805Fecha de finalización
12 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a slim edge for 13°C (40%) over 12°C (34%) as Istanbul's highest temperature today, mirroring close ensemble means from ECMWF and GFS models around 12.5°C amid partly cloudy skies and northerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of 16°C. Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecasts a 14°C peak between noon and 3 PM from Istanbul Airport observations, but overnight lows near 5-7°C and 60-70% humidity introduce uncertainty, with variable cloud breaks determining if solar heating pushes to 13°C or stalls at 12°C. Light breezes (10-15 km/h) limit mixing; real-time hourly MGM data will clarify as the afternoon progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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