Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on April 14?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 14?
18°C 31%
17°C 30%
19°C 14%
16°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
9%
15°C
11%
16°C
12%
17°C
30%
18°C
31%
19°C
20%
20°C
4%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
2%
18°C 31%
17°C 30%
19°C 14%
16°C 12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
14 abr 2026
12°C or below
$68 Vol.
1%
13°C
$67 Vol.
1%
14°C
$0 Vol.
9%
15°C
$58 Vol.
11%
16°C
$57 Vol.
12%
17°C
$7 Vol.
30%
18°C
$19 Vol.
31%
19°C
$14 Vol.
20%
20°C
$20 Vol.
4%
21°C
$23 Vol.
1%
22°C or higher
$52 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$379Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$379Fecha de finalización
14 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 12, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, reflected in AccuWeather guidance, position a 17°C high as the trader consensus for Paris on April 14, with 40% implied probability, due to expected partly sunny conditions and mild southwesterly winds following a mid-week warm spell of 24–26°C that peaked April 7–12. A brief cooldown to 14°C on April 13 amid passing showers has traders clustering odds around 17–19°C (92% combined), accounting for spring variability and typical April averages of 15–16°C near Charles de Gaulle Airport, the market's measurement site. Updated model runs overnight could shift probabilities, as historical data shows 2–3°C spreads in short-range forecasts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes