Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 15 de abril?
¿Temperatura más baja en Shanghái el 15 de abril?
13°C 34.4%
14°C 9.0%
12°C 7.0%
11°C <1%
NUEVO
$50,774 Vol.
NUEVO
$50,774 Vol.
16 abr 2026
9°C o menos
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
7%
13°C
34%
14°C
28%
15°C
48%
13°C 34.4%
14°C 9.0%
12°C 7.0%
11°C <1%
NUEVO
$50,774 Vol.
NUEVO
$50,774 Vol.
16 abr 2026
9°C o menos
$1,700 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$1,846 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$1,899 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,692 Vol.
7%
13°C
$1,433 Vol.
34%
14°C
$2,103 Vol.
28%
15°C
$2,091 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$50,774Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$50,774Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 15°C as the leading lowest temperature outcome for Shanghai on April 15 at 47.5% implied probability, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting overnight lows near 14-16°C amid persistent cloud cover, high humidity around 70-90%, and light southerly winds limiting radiative cooling. Recent observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm April 14 morning temperatures lingering near 15°C under foggy, drizzly conditions, signaling a mild East Asian spring pattern above the historical April median low of 11-12°C. With 13°C (35%) and 14°C (28.4%) close behind, models show sensitivity to overnight clearing, which could shave 1-2°C; new 12z runs expected later today may refine this before resolution tomorrow.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes