Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low around 66°F at Central Park for April 15 under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 6-13 mph, driving elevated implied probabilities for 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (26.5%). This warmth stems from persistent southerly flow and high pressure ridging aloft, limiting radiational cooling despite light winds that could allow minor drops toward 64°F if clearer skies prevail. Disagreement with 70-71°F (24.8%) arises from model spread—GFS ensembles slightly warmer due to anticipated urban heat retention and higher humidity (around 60%), while ECMWF hints at breezier conditions aiding mixing. New 12Z model runs and evening soundings expected later today could refine these uncertainties before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de abril?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 15 de abril?
64-65°F 35%
66-67°F 26.1%
68-69°F 15.4%
70-71°F 9.3%
NUEVO
$18,487 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,487 Vol.
16 abr 2026
59°F o menos
2%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
35%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
15%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
1%
78°F o más
1%
64-65°F 35%
66-67°F 26.1%
68-69°F 15.4%
70-71°F 9.3%
NUEVO
$18,487 Vol.
NUEVO
$18,487 Vol.
16 abr 2026
59°F o menos
$2,293 Vol.
2%
60-61°F
$1,271 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$1,060 Vol.
9%
64-65°F
$2,299 Vol.
35%
66-67°F
$2,295 Vol.
26%
68-69°F
$1,145 Vol.
15%
70-71°F
$453 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$719 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$748 Vol.
1%
76-77°F
$894 Vol.
1%
78°F o más
$5,310 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low around 66°F at Central Park for April 15 under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 6-13 mph, driving elevated implied probabilities for 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (26.5%). This warmth stems from persistent southerly flow and high pressure ridging aloft, limiting radiational cooling despite light winds that could allow minor drops toward 64°F if clearer skies prevail. Disagreement with 70-71°F (24.8%) arises from model spread—GFS ensembles slightly warmer due to anticipated urban heat retention and higher humidity (around 60%), while ECMWF hints at breezier conditions aiding mixing. New 12Z model runs and evening soundings expected later today could refine these uncertainties before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Volumen
$18,487Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low around 66°F at Central Park for April 15 under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 6-13 mph, driving elevated implied probabilities for 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (26.5%). This warmth stems from persistent southerly flow and high pressure ridging aloft, limiting radiational cooling despite light winds that could allow minor drops toward 64°F if clearer skies prevail. Disagreement with 70-71°F (24.8%) arises from model spread—GFS ensembles slightly warmer due to anticipated urban heat retention and higher humidity (around 60%), while ECMWF hints at breezier conditions aiding mixing. New 12Z model runs and evening soundings expected later today could refine these uncertainties before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$18,487Fecha de finalización
16 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service forecasts showing an overnight low around 66°F at Central Park for April 15 under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 6-13 mph, driving elevated implied probabilities for 64-65°F (34.5%) and 66-67°F (26.5%). This warmth stems from persistent southerly flow and high pressure ridging aloft, limiting radiational cooling despite light winds that could allow minor drops toward 64°F if clearer skies prevail. Disagreement with 70-71°F (24.8%) arises from model spread—GFS ensembles slightly warmer due to anticipated urban heat retention and higher humidity (around 60%), while ECMWF hints at breezier conditions aiding mixing. New 12Z model runs and evening soundings expected later today could refine these uncertainties before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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