Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Paris highs on September 5 stabilizing near 25–26°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with light northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the clustered 23–26°C market-implied probabilities, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Recent warming on September 4 has been followed by modest cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology of 22–25°C averages. Traders are monitoring the next 12–24 hour model updates for any eastward trough adjustments that could alter insolation or wind speeds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 5 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en París el 5 de septiembre?
25°C 41%
26°C 27%
24°C 20%
23°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
20°C o menos
4%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
9%
24°C
20%
25°C
41%
26°C
27%
27°C
6%
28°C
3%
29°C
4%
30°C o más
4%
25°C 41%
26°C 27%
24°C 20%
23°C 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$0 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$0 Vol.
9%
24°C
$0 Vol.
20%
25°C
$16 Vol.
41%
26°C
$70 Vol.
27%
27°C
$0 Vol.
6%
28°C
$0 Vol.
3%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C o más
$0 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Paris highs on September 5 stabilizing near 25–26°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with light northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the clustered 23–26°C market-implied probabilities, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Recent warming on September 4 has been followed by modest cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology of 22–25°C averages. Traders are monitoring the next 12–24 hour model updates for any eastward trough adjustments that could alter insolation or wind speeds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$86Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Paris highs on September 5 stabilizing near 25–26°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with light northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the clustered 23–26°C market-implied probabilities, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Recent warming on September 4 has been followed by modest cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology of 22–25°C averages. Traders are monitoring the next 12–24 hour model updates for any eastward trough adjustments that could alter insolation or wind speeds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$86Fecha de finalización
5 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest high-resolution model runs from ECMWF, GFS, and ICON show Paris highs on September 5 stabilizing near 25–26°C under a building high-pressure ridge, with light northwesterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and negligible precipitation risk. This consensus supports the clustered 23–26°C market-implied probabilities, as small differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing can shift peak readings by 1–2°C. Recent warming on September 4 has been followed by modest cooling, consistent with typical early-September climatology of 22–25°C averages. Traders are monitoring the next 12–24 hour model updates for any eastward trough adjustments that could alter insolation or wind speeds before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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