**Forecast consensus from official monitoring and numerical models positions 29–31°C as the dominant range for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 3, 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (30°C at 51.5%, 31°C at 25%, 29°C at 17.5%).** Current conditions on September 2 feature partly cloudy skies and highs near 27–28°C under light westerly flow. Models show a shift to northerly or northeasterly winds on the 3rd, promoting clearer to partly cloudy conditions with reduced moisture and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors strong daytime insolation at Seoul’s latitude (~37.5°N) while limiting extreme heating, producing afternoon peaks of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F). Official Incheon airport guidance lists a maximum of 29°C, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 29–30°C with limited spread. Climatologically, early September maxima average near 28°C; the current pattern reflects typical post-monsoon stabilization rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Low dew points and moderate winds further constrain any upside beyond 32°C, keeping higher outcomes (33°C+) at under 1% implied probability. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Seúl (Incheon) el 3 de septiembre?
30°C 52%
31°C 26%
29°C 15%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
52%
31°C
26%
32°C
7%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
31°C 26%
29°C 15%
32°C 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
24°C or below
$230 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$522 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$362 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$880 Vol.
1%
28°C
$615 Vol.
3%
29°C
$874 Vol.
15%
30°C
$1,270 Vol.
52%
31°C
$1,379 Vol.
26%
32°C
$1,534 Vol.
7%
33°C
$322 Vol.
1%
34°C or higher
$394 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official monitoring and numerical models positions 29–31°C as the dominant range for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 3, 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (30°C at 51.5%, 31°C at 25%, 29°C at 17.5%).**
Current conditions on September 2 feature partly cloudy skies and highs near 27–28°C under light westerly flow. Models show a shift to northerly or northeasterly winds on the 3rd, promoting clearer to partly cloudy conditions with reduced moisture and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors strong daytime insolation at Seoul’s latitude (~37.5°N) while limiting extreme heating, producing afternoon peaks of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F). Official Incheon airport guidance lists a maximum of 29°C, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 29–30°C with limited spread.
Climatologically, early September maxima average near 28°C; the current pattern reflects typical post-monsoon stabilization rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Low dew points and moderate winds further constrain any upside beyond 32°C, keeping higher outcomes (33°C+) at under 1% implied probability. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,383Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from official monitoring and numerical models positions 29–31°C as the dominant range for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 3, 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (30°C at 51.5%, 31°C at 25%, 29°C at 17.5%).**
Current conditions on September 2 feature partly cloudy skies and highs near 27–28°C under light westerly flow. Models show a shift to northerly or northeasterly winds on the 3rd, promoting clearer to partly cloudy conditions with reduced moisture and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors strong daytime insolation at Seoul’s latitude (~37.5°N) while limiting extreme heating, producing afternoon peaks of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F). Official Incheon airport guidance lists a maximum of 29°C, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 29–30°C with limited spread.
Climatologically, early September maxima average near 28°C; the current pattern reflects typical post-monsoon stabilization rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Low dew points and moderate winds further constrain any upside beyond 32°C, keeping higher outcomes (33°C+) at under 1% implied probability. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,383Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from official monitoring and numerical models positions 29–31°C as the dominant range for Incheon’s daily maximum on September 3, 2026, directly supporting the market’s leading implied probabilities (30°C at 51.5%, 31°C at 25%, 29°C at 17.5%).** Current conditions on September 2 feature partly cloudy skies and highs near 27–28°C under light westerly flow. Models show a shift to northerly or northeasterly winds on the 3rd, promoting clearer to partly cloudy conditions with reduced moisture and minimal precipitation risk. This setup favors strong daytime insolation at Seoul’s latitude (~37.5°N) while limiting extreme heating, producing afternoon peaks of 29–31°C (roughly 84–88°F). Official Incheon airport guidance lists a maximum of 29°C, while ensemble and deterministic runs cluster tightly around 29–30°C with limited spread. Climatologically, early September maxima average near 28°C; the current pattern reflects typical post-monsoon stabilization rather than anomalous warmth or cooling. Low dew points and moderate winds further constrain any upside beyond 32°C, keeping higher outcomes (33°C+) at under 1% implied probability. Updated model runs and KMA briefings through the evening of September 2 remain the key near-term catalysts that could refine these probabilities before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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