Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Marmara region, with northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology for Istanbul, where clear skies and moderate humidity typically allow peak temperatures in that range before any frontal cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread due to variable low-level moisture, keeping 26°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while capping upside odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 4 de septiembre?
26°C 58%
27°C 19%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
22°C o menos
2%
23°C
4%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
58%
27°C
19%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C o más
2%
26°C 58%
27°C 19%
25°C 17%
28°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C
$80 Vol.
4%
24°C
$158 Vol.
3%
25°C
$255 Vol.
17%
26°C
$166 Vol.
58%
27°C
$5 Vol.
19%
28°C
$20 Vol.
6%
29°C
$155 Vol.
3%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Marmara region, with northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology for Istanbul, where clear skies and moderate humidity typically allow peak temperatures in that range before any frontal cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread due to variable low-level moisture, keeping 26°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while capping upside odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$839Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Marmara region, with northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology for Istanbul, where clear skies and moderate humidity typically allow peak temperatures in that range before any frontal cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread due to variable low-level moisture, keeping 26°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while capping upside odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$839Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles indicate a stable high-pressure system over the Marmara region, with northeasterly winds and limited cloud cover supporting a daytime high near 27–28°C on September 4. This aligns with early-September climatology for Istanbul, where clear skies and moderate humidity typically allow peak temperatures in that range before any frontal cooling. Recent model runs show minor spread due to variable low-level moisture, keeping 26°C as the market favorite at 58% implied probability while capping upside odds for 28°C or higher. Updated guidance through the weekend will refine exact maxima ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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