**Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 68–71°F on September 4 in San Francisco, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus showing a weakening marine layer, clearing skies after midweek showers, and light westerly winds.** Persistent onshore flow from the cold California Current and residual low-level moisture have kept recent highs in the mid-60s, but reduced cloud cover and a modest pressure gradient on Friday should allow greater solar heating. The narrow spread between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and exact wind timing—stronger afternoon sea breezes or lingering stratus could cap readings near 68°F, while quicker clearing and lighter winds would support the low 70s. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet early-month marine influences often produce 2–4°F day-to-day variability. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 4 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en San Francisco el 4 de septiembre?
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 40%
72-73°F 9%
66-67°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
61°F o menos
1%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
43%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
1%
80 °F o más
<1%
70-71°F 43%
68-69°F 40%
72-73°F 9%
66-67°F 7%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
61°F o menos
$173 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
3%
64-65°F
$48 Vol.
3%
66-67°F
$133 Vol.
7%
68-69°F
$7 Vol.
40%
70-71°F
$53 Vol.
43%
72-73°F
$264 Vol.
9%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
2%
78-79°F
$90 Vol.
1%
80 °F o más
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 68–71°F on September 4 in San Francisco, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus showing a weakening marine layer, clearing skies after midweek showers, and light westerly winds.**
Persistent onshore flow from the cold California Current and residual low-level moisture have kept recent highs in the mid-60s, but reduced cloud cover and a modest pressure gradient on Friday should allow greater solar heating. The narrow spread between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and exact wind timing—stronger afternoon sea breezes or lingering stratus could cap readings near 68°F, while quicker clearing and lighter winds would support the low 70s. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet early-month marine influences often produce 2–4°F day-to-day variability. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$928Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 68–71°F on September 4 in San Francisco, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus showing a weakening marine layer, clearing skies after midweek showers, and light westerly winds.**
Persistent onshore flow from the cold California Current and residual low-level moisture have kept recent highs in the mid-60s, but reduced cloud cover and a modest pressure gradient on Friday should allow greater solar heating. The narrow spread between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and exact wind timing—stronger afternoon sea breezes or lingering stratus could cap readings near 68°F, while quicker clearing and lighter winds would support the low 70s. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet early-month marine influences often produce 2–4°F day-to-day variability. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$928Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Market-implied odds favor a highest temperature of 68–71°F on September 4 in San Francisco, driven by National Weather Service and model consensus showing a weakening marine layer, clearing skies after midweek showers, and light westerly winds.** Persistent onshore flow from the cold California Current and residual low-level moisture have kept recent highs in the mid-60s, but reduced cloud cover and a modest pressure gradient on Friday should allow greater solar heating. The narrow spread between the 68–69°F and 70–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in marine-layer depth and exact wind timing—stronger afternoon sea breezes or lingering stratus could cap readings near 68°F, while quicker clearing and lighter winds would support the low 70s. Historical September averages near 70°F provide context, yet early-month marine influences often produce 2–4°F day-to-day variability. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of the daily maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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