Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chengdu el 2 de septiembre?
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
37°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
28°C or below
4%
29°C
7%
30°C
4%
31°C
15%
32°C
11%
33°C
27%
34°C
29%
35°C
28%
36°C
11%
37°C
19%
38°C or higher
19%
34°C 29%
35°C 28%
33°C 27%
37°C 19%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 sep 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
4%
29°C
$0 Vol.
7%
30°C
$0 Vol.
4%
31°C
$5 Vol.
15%
32°C
$15 Vol.
11%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
29%
35°C
$14 Vol.
28%
36°C
$8 Vol.
11%
37°C
$40 Vol.
19%
38°C or higher
$0 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$82Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$82Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including Chinese weather services and international models, indicate Chengdu highs of 32–34°C on September 2 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. This consensus, reflecting the basin’s typical late-summer radiative heating under weak steering flows and moderate humidity, drives the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 33–35°C. Subtle differences hinge on exact cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and any minor frontal influence that could suppress peak temperatures by 1–2°C or allow brief intensification; updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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